Today's Greyhounds

We've gone to the dogs.
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 2310
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 1:21 pm
wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 12:51 pm
BWhizz wrote:
Sun Oct 10, 2021 7:24 pm


Looks good.
How is the Poisson Distribution going with the greyhounds now? You looked like getting some really decent results
That post was something different from the PD ones. It was based on converting data into odds and then comparing the market before the off to see if there was some value. Early results suggest there is.

I might combine the PD findings with it, to see if it improves things further.

Did a combination on this race

Central Park 1.17


CP1.17R.png


No value as the market was more or less spot on.
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 2310
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 1:22 pm
wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 1:21 pm
wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 12:51 pm


That post was something different from the PD ones. It was based on converting data into odds and then comparing the market before the off to see if there was some value. Early results suggest there is.

I might combine the PD findings with it, to see if it improves things further.

Did a combination on this race

Central Park 1.17

CP1.17R.png


No value as the market was more or less spot on. (T3 maybe a little)
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BWhizz
Posts: 2
Joined: Fri Dec 27, 2019 9:57 pm

wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 1:23 pm
wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 1:22 pm
wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 1:21 pm



Did a combination on this race

Central Park 1.17


CP1.17R.png



No value as the market was more or less spot on. (T3 maybe a little)
Certainly be interested to see how you get on with this approach as taking the value (back or lay wise) would think prove advantageous. And if can add the pd data in and hone it further , could be onto a winner. 🤞🏻
I just be happy with making about £20 a day to be honest. Looking at automation side and the shared files as a starting point.
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 2310
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

BWhizz wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 1:28 pm
wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 1:23 pm
wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Oct 11, 2021 1:22 pm
Certainly be interested to see how you get on with this approach as taking the value (back or lay wise) would think prove advantageous. And if can add the pd data in and hone it further , could be onto a winner. 🤞🏻
I just be happy with making about £20 a day to be honest. Looking at automation side and the shared files as a starting point.
The market seems to form about 2 minutes before the off. The bookies do offer early odds, but the exchanges are far better if backing. (They are alright for guidance purposes though)

With laying, you can be doing so at quite high odds compared to the general market, so you're right, value is everything.
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wearthefoxhat
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Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

FWIW, here's a race that might see a steam on Trap 2. (Odds in white taken from bookies early prices)


Central Park 12.31

CP12.31.png
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Emmson
Posts: 2338
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

You were vindicated! was bottom of its range when market was suspended.

I made my biggest dog profit of the morning by trading that trap 2 :D dog of 27 pence.
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 2310
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

Emmson wrote:
Tue Oct 12, 2021 12:35 pm
You were vindicated! was bottom of its range when market was suspended.

I made my biggest dog profit of the morning by trading that trap 2 :D dog of 27 pence.
:D

Those pennies add up though..

T2.png

Backed in from 5/2 to 6/4.
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