NBA

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Emmson
Posts: 1680
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Dislike what Betfair have done to NBA points markets, they have ruined them...they were my 1st love, even ahead of cricket trading. Had to switch to match odds. Also Betfair and 365 streaming seems to have an added delay over what there used to be. Nevertheless I am maintaining a 100% record this season . An ideal trading sport imo surprised there is not more of a clamour to trade them.
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Emmson
Posts: 1680
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Lack of liquidity is a problem on NBA but the great asset it has is the sheer quantity of games, you can be ultra selective (and I am)

I'll take these small wins until the cows come home, I'm mustard keen on extending my 100% record.
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Emmson
Posts: 1680
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Nearly lost my 100% record this season when the worst team in league (post LeBron) galloped into a 12 point lead v the tasty Denver Nuggets.
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Emmson
Posts: 1680
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

24 out of 24 but tonight has been the toughest. May take a pause or at least go for the ultra ultra safe. NBA is not that far away from T20 cricket in how they trade. It's enjoyable bank building as I thoroughly enjoy the sport.
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Euler
Posts: 20214
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
Location: Bet Angel HQ
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I've looked at Basketball and modelled it some time ago, but haven't really traded it properly.

When I've been in the US I've often watched the markets and been surprised how much liquidity there has been, though not looked recently TBH. So it was refreshing to see somebody is trading it.
Emmson
Posts: 1680
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Small wins until the cows come home on the NBA *BankBuilding* About 10 days until mid April when there are no NBA games. As I'm a fan of the sport it's not tedious work and I am a natural night owl.
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Emmson
Posts: 1680
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Maintaining my 100% NBA record this season is becoming a hostage to fortune, might be better for me to have a loss (as long as its small)

Meanwhile there is an early going on today and racking up another small win is welcome. Much more action later.
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Emmson
Posts: 1680
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Small wins on NBA I'll take until the cows come home. 29 out of 29
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ShaunWhite
Posts: 6188
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Nice work Emmson, I looked at quite a lot last year and did ok but I've given it a miss this year.

Be careful if the curse of the 100% record !
Euler wrote:
Fri Nov 02, 2018 5:21 am
I've looked at Basketball and modelled it some time ago, but haven't really traded it properly.
How many parameters did you factor into the calcs Peter? Was it a generic model based starting prices and point leads (like Tennis Trader?), or deeper from things like team stats, comeback likelihoods etc?

I know you supplement your TA tennis model with FA of the individual players, was this the same? It's just that spotting a deviation from a theoretical pricing model is useful to a point, but unless applied at scale, it's equally important to know if that particular price is or isn't wrong for the current situation. Is that what stopped you from doing it 'properly' or was it the unsociable hours for marginal returns?
Emmson
Posts: 1680
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

^^Cheers SW

It had to happen and tonight it did happen, 100% record of the NBA season is over. :twisted: Good news is I struck back immediately and will be well up on the night. *BankBuilding* 8-)
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