Greyhound Mystique

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sniffer66
Posts: 1666
Joined: Thu May 02, 2019 8:37 am

Anyone seeing unpredictable results over the last few days ?. My backing strat usually runs at a strike rate of around 17% (15k sample). Since yesterday I've been running at around 4%. Obviously could be just variance but wondering if the weather might be a factor...
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jimibt
Posts: 3641
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2015 6:42 pm
Location: Narnia

sniffer66 wrote:
Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:42 pm
Anyone seeing unpredictable results over the last few days ?. My backing strat usually runs at a strike rate of around 17% (15k sample). Since yesterday I've been running at around 4%. Obviously could be just variance but wondering if the weather might be a factor...
i've similarly noted yesterday and thus far, today also being sub optimal. thought likewise it may be the weather, tho of course, last week was also super cold. however, maybe training regimes only now being hit.
JTEDL
Posts: 536
Joined: Wed Aug 23, 2017 2:21 pm

Noticed past 2 days favourites have won around 40% so higher than usual. But I'm also including joint favs in that, (just UK races also)
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jimibt
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Location: Narnia

JTEDL wrote:
Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:46 pm
Noticed past 2 days favourites have won around 40% so higher than usual. But I'm also including joint favs in that, (just UK races also)
that may explain it... my strategy is looking at value plays and normally doesn't touch the faves, thus usually quite consistant... hoping it's a blip :D
StellaBot
Posts: 818
Joined: Thu Jan 26, 2017 11:52 am

Greyhounds are mysterious

and great machines
StellaBot
Posts: 818
Joined: Thu Jan 26, 2017 11:52 am

That explains it

:D
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napshnap
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Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2017 6:21 am

sniffer66 wrote:
Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:42 pm
Anyone seeing unpredictable results over the last few days ?. My backing strat usually runs at a strike rate of around 17% (15k sample). Since yesterday I've been running at around 4%. Obviously could be just variance but wondering if the weather might be a factor...
Most of my beautiful back/lay betting strategies based on previous months statistic flip-flopped and show ugly red figures this month. I guess it's due bad weather conditions and races being canceled. Fck you, february! :evil:
sniffer66
Posts: 1666
Joined: Thu May 02, 2019 8:37 am

napshnap wrote:
Thu Feb 11, 2021 7:36 am
sniffer66 wrote:
Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:42 pm
Anyone seeing unpredictable results over the last few days ?. My backing strat usually runs at a strike rate of around 17% (15k sample). Since yesterday I've been running at around 4%. Obviously could be just variance but wondering if the weather might be a factor...
Most of my beautiful back/lay betting strategies based on previous months statistic flip-flopped and show ugly red figures this month. I guess it's due bad weather conditions and races being canceled. Fck you, february! :evil:
Cheers. Not good for you but at least it isnt just me :)
sniffer66
Posts: 1666
Joined: Thu May 02, 2019 8:37 am

StellaBot wrote:
Thu Feb 11, 2021 12:29 am
Greyhounds are mysterious

and great machines
Thanks for clearing that up ;)
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Crazyskier
Posts: 1157
Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm

sniffer66 wrote:
Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:42 pm
Anyone seeing unpredictable results over the last few days ?. My backing strat usually runs at a strike rate of around 17% (15k sample). Since yesterday I've been running at around 4%. Obviously could be just variance but wondering if the weather might be a factor...
I did Sunderland today with 4 x winners and 2 x 2nds, and Nottingham provided 5 x winners and 2 x 2nds from 12 races each (all bets above 2.02) not necessarily market favourites, but my own selections.

Some tracks seem better suited to favourites below 3s to win, managing to place consistently.

CS
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jimibt
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Location: Narnia

Crazyskier wrote:
Thu Feb 11, 2021 7:28 pm
sniffer66 wrote:
Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:42 pm
Anyone seeing unpredictable results over the last few days ?. My backing strat usually runs at a strike rate of around 17% (15k sample). Since yesterday I've been running at around 4%. Obviously could be just variance but wondering if the weather might be a factor...
I did Sunderland today with 4 x winners and 2 x 2nds, and Nottingham provided 5 x winners and 2 x 2nds from 12 races each (all bets above 2.02) not necessarily market favourites, but my own selections.

Some tracks seem better suited to favourites below 3s to win, managing to place consistently.

CS
therein lies the tale!! i'm TRYING to AVOID conventional wisdom... WIP ;) !!
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3206
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

Couldn't resist posting this one....Scurlogue Champ

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dz0Utl30A0U
Archery1969
Posts: 3193
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am
Location: Newport

Has anyone ever used Neuroxl Predictor ?

Possibly a complete fluke and I would never have bet on this dog to either win, place or shorten in price pre-off.

But it won. :)
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Realrocknrolla
Posts: 1903
Joined: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:15 pm

Archery1969 wrote:
Mon Jul 05, 2021 10:58 pm
Has anyone ever used Neuroxl Predictor ?

Possibly a complete fluke and I would never have bet on this dog to either win, place or shorten in price pre-off.

But it won. :)
Saw this post earlier and just checked my model out.

My model predicted this a top finish also, and I included it in my dutching selections for this race.

To be fair the dog ran a fast time last time out also.

Trap 2 was definitely a false favourite. 😉
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lavenham
Posts: 83
Joined: Thu Feb 28, 2013 10:24 am

Hi,
With the shortage of decent horse racing lately due to bad weather, I decided to revisit greyhounds. I came across this interesting topic, which has about 79 pages of high quality input, spreadsheets etc. Sadly there has been no input since 2021 and I was interested to know why. Has everyone found a better approach which they do not wish to share or have they abandoned greyhounds all together? The last greyhound input I could find was Dallas's 'Leap frog' servant, which might possibly work well with Archery 1969's approach.
There are a host of 'scraping' approaches using Python but not sure if they work anymore, but if they do then they would be a great way to check out different angles.
So - where have all the experts gone?
Thanks
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