Daily weather markets on Betfair

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Waterhouse
Posts: 5
Joined: Tue May 19, 2020 6:07 pm

Has anyone been successful betting on the daily Australian weather markets on Betfair?

This one for example: https://www.betfair.com/exchange/specia ... /29758441/

Could I not just look up the weather forecast for that particular day and gain an edge? Or am I missing something obvious here?
sa7med
Posts: 789
Joined: Thu May 18, 2017 8:01 am

market looks pretty thing, only 120 quid traded
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Kai
Posts: 2241
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm
Location: Behind Ivanka Trump

Waterhouse wrote:
Tue May 19, 2020 6:21 pm
Could I not just look up the weather forecast for that particular day and gain an edge? Or am I missing something obvious here?
Can't tell weather you're serious or trolling :?
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Derek27
Posts: 10014
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

Waterhouse wrote:
Tue May 19, 2020 6:21 pm
Has anyone been successful betting on the daily Australian weather markets on Betfair?

This one for example: https://www.betfair.com/exchange/specia ... /29758441/

Could I not just look up the weather forecast for that particular day and gain an edge? Or am I missing something obvious here?
You could, but so could everybody else, so it's not really an edge.
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Derek27
Posts: 10014
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

Kai wrote:
Tue May 19, 2020 7:40 pm
Waterhouse wrote:
Tue May 19, 2020 6:21 pm
Could I not just look up the weather forecast for that particular day and gain an edge? Or am I missing something obvious here?
Can't tell weather you're serious or trolling :?
Sounds like the first step in a long, long search for an edge. ;)
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Kai
Posts: 2241
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm
Location: Behind Ivanka Trump

Derek27 wrote:
Tue May 19, 2020 7:44 pm
Kai wrote:
Tue May 19, 2020 7:40 pm
Waterhouse wrote:
Tue May 19, 2020 6:21 pm
Could I not just look up the weather forecast for that particular day and gain an edge? Or am I missing something obvious here?
Can't tell weather you're serious or trolling :?
Sounds like the first step in a long, long search for an edge. ;)
Yikes, taking a meteorology course has to be the most scenic route a trader could ever take.
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ShaunWhite
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Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 1770
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

There always a chance of 1.01 gub...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82hBNQSfros

predict.jpg
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firlandsfarm
Posts: 1339
Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

Looks the same as over/under 2.5 goals! :)
Waterhouse
Posts: 5
Joined: Tue May 19, 2020 6:07 pm

firlandsfarm wrote:
Wed May 20, 2020 11:27 am
Looks the same as over/under 2.5 goals! :)
What do you mean? I didn't catch that. :)
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