Poker Negreanu v Polk Heads Up N/L Grudge Match

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Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

3422 hands and 8 sessions in and Negreanu can still be backed at 5.1 in spite of Negreanu's current lead of 179k representing a swing to Negreanu of 447k from Polk's high of session three.
Mrs Negreanu (Amanda Leatherman) will be sitting in on the GGPoker live coverage tonight in what is expected to be a long session. Starts 10:30 GMT
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am
Location: London

Jukebox wrote:
Fri Nov 20, 2020 9:40 pm
3422 hands and 8 sessions in and Negreanu can still be backed at 5.1 in spite of Negreanu's current lead of 179k representing a swing to Negreanu of 447k from Polk's high of session three.
Mrs Negreanu (Amanda Leatherman) will be sitting in on the GGPoker live coverage tonight in what is expected to be a long session. Starts 10:30 GMT
Polk must have been running badly under EV?
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

rik wrote:
Sat Nov 21, 2020 1:01 am
Jukebox wrote:
Fri Nov 20, 2020 9:40 pm
3422 hands and 8 sessions in and Negreanu can still be backed at 5.1 in spite of Negreanu's current lead of 179k representing a swing to Negreanu of 447k from Polk's high of session three.
Mrs Negreanu (Amanda Leatherman) will be sitting in on the GGPoker live coverage tonight in what is expected to be a long session. Starts 10:30 GMT
Polk must have been running badly under EV?
Quite the opposite - DN has been shown to be 3 buy ins (@40keach) or so behind on all-in EV (we don't see hands except at showdown). DP had a good session tonight and has overturned the deficit plus 24k or so.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =573882762
BertieBert
Posts: 17
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2019 12:11 am

not watching the allinev so closely, but dnegs is getting absolutely run over in some relatively simple spots and if anything I think polk is actually improving at a faster rate than dneg.

if anything the 1.08 offered for polk now is probably better value than the 1.25 offered at the start of the challenge. he is up 600k, true there are still a lot of hands and variance left to play but his play has been a different class.
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

Round 17 last night

Catch the last hand of 3 hours followed immediately by live interview with a clearly tilting Negreanu - fun watch

Last hand is at 3:12:20 ish

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sHCv1atQzBc
BertieBert
Posts: 17
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2019 12:11 am

what a rant. for someone who is usually pretty situationally aware he seems pretty blind to the skill level for the HUNL specialist Polk, maybe the rant is to make it easier for fans just to chalk it down to bad luck. I know dnegs has run bad in a few spots, but he's also been absolutely run over and outclassed in others.
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