Poker Negreanu v Polk Heads Up N/L Grudge Match

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sionascaig
Posts: 403
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

Jukebox wrote:
Mon Nov 16, 2020 11:14 am
Plenty of forum members have mentioned their poker interest. This market might be interesting for them with Daniel Negreanu and Doug Polk facing each other following many years of trading insults and goading between them and a heads up challenge that has warranted a Betfair market. The match is for a minimum of 12500 hands with an option for the loser to extend to 25000 hands at $200/$400 HUNL. Typically played in 2 hour sessions that have so far been very convenient for UK watchers at 10:30 GMT.
Polk has been and continues to be the consisent odds on favorite in this market despite a losing first session and heavy losses in the fourth and fifth sessions that currently sees Negreanu ahead overall by $26k after 1700 or so hands played having turned around a Polk lead of $268k after three sessions.

Current odds 5.7/5.8 Negeanu 1.19/1.21 Polk
Thanks Jukebox - had no idea it was on )
rik
Posts: 1189
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am
Location: London

whats the point one player admits the other is better, shouldnt there be trash talk
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Kafkaesque
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Joined: Fri Oct 06, 2017 10:20 am

rik wrote:
Mon Nov 16, 2020 9:48 pm
whats the point one player admits the other is better, shouldnt there be trash talk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwWpM_XW0u4

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sXl-VdR9sZE
Last edited by Kafkaesque on Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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wearthefoxhat
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Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

rik wrote:
Mon Nov 16, 2020 9:48 pm
whats the point one player admits the other is better, shouldnt there be trash talk
Was plenty of that in the preceding months/years, when they finally sat down, they were as nice as pie to each other!

polk1.png

polk2.png
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BertieBert
Posts: 14
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2019 12:11 am

even given the variance of 25k sample I'm a bit surprised at price movements. I would have made Doug a 15bb favourite to start
Jukebox
Posts: 1393
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

3422 hands and 8 sessions in and Negreanu can still be backed at 5.1 in spite of Negreanu's current lead of 179k representing a swing to Negreanu of 447k from Polk's high of session three.
Mrs Negreanu (Amanda Leatherman) will be sitting in on the GGPoker live coverage tonight in what is expected to be a long session. Starts 10:30 GMT
rik
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Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am
Location: London

Jukebox wrote:
Fri Nov 20, 2020 9:40 pm
3422 hands and 8 sessions in and Negreanu can still be backed at 5.1 in spite of Negreanu's current lead of 179k representing a swing to Negreanu of 447k from Polk's high of session three.
Mrs Negreanu (Amanda Leatherman) will be sitting in on the GGPoker live coverage tonight in what is expected to be a long session. Starts 10:30 GMT
Polk must have been running badly under EV?
Jukebox
Posts: 1393
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

rik wrote:
Sat Nov 21, 2020 1:01 am
Jukebox wrote:
Fri Nov 20, 2020 9:40 pm
3422 hands and 8 sessions in and Negreanu can still be backed at 5.1 in spite of Negreanu's current lead of 179k representing a swing to Negreanu of 447k from Polk's high of session three.
Mrs Negreanu (Amanda Leatherman) will be sitting in on the GGPoker live coverage tonight in what is expected to be a long session. Starts 10:30 GMT
Polk must have been running badly under EV?
Quite the opposite - DN has been shown to be 3 buy ins (@40keach) or so behind on all-in EV (we don't see hands except at showdown). DP had a good session tonight and has overturned the deficit plus 24k or so.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... =573882762
BertieBert
Posts: 14
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2019 12:11 am

not watching the allinev so closely, but dnegs is getting absolutely run over in some relatively simple spots and if anything I think polk is actually improving at a faster rate than dneg.

if anything the 1.08 offered for polk now is probably better value than the 1.25 offered at the start of the challenge. he is up 600k, true there are still a lot of hands and variance left to play but his play has been a different class.
Jukebox
Posts: 1393
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

Round 17 last night

Catch the last hand of 3 hours followed immediately by live interview with a clearly tilting Negreanu - fun watch

Last hand is at 3:12:20 ish

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sHCv1atQzBc
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