Baseball

Any markets not covered in the other boards
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cloud88111
Posts: 36
Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2011 8:56 am

Has anyone ever looked at trading Baseball? There's nothing like good liquidity there but the price movements are massive and predictable.

I Wondered if anyone took interest in any of the American sports? I saw an NFL post earlier but that's the one I'd stay away from as anything can happen in a second and teams change so much it's not worth keeping up with. Does anyone know if Basketball or NHL are worth a look?
Talkbet
Posts: 67
Joined: Tue Apr 26, 2011 6:35 am

Cassini over at http://dont-tell-anybody-i-ran-a-tipping-service.blogspot.com/ trades the US sports and makes very decent profits by all accounts. Obviously I have no idea of his strategies except that he seems to intimate that the markets overreact after touchdowns etc so he looks to get in at that point and then get out after the market has corrected itself.
He also looks for changes in the pattern of play when teams suddenly seem to up their game and the momentum changes.
Excellent blog and well worth reading.
cloud88111
Posts: 36
Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2011 8:56 am

If anyone is interested in looking at Baseball as a trading option these are the types of movements you get and they are relatively predictable.
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cloud88111
Posts: 36
Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2011 8:56 am

I'll throw this one in for good measure as well.
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aligammack
Posts: 104
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 2:49 pm

During the NBA playoffs I spent some time looking at the markets and I was pleasantly surprised.

Good liquidity and an interesting market with smooth price movements.

I believe that if it wasn't for the time difference basketball would be a more popular market because of the way it scores.

Ok for me as I'm over this side of the world.
SilentDave
Posts: 199
Joined: Wed Jan 20, 2010 11:30 am
Location: Bogota, Colombia

NBA is great for trading. Well worth a look.
Baseball there is just not enough liquidity to trade in-play imo but I do get involved pre-game.
convoysur-2
Posts: 1109
Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am

THis must be the best sport to trade,
CHECK IT
http://www.mindblowingvideos.com/this-s ... l-day.html
tc_uk
Posts: 18
Joined: Sat Apr 29, 2017 2:50 am

I've got a keen interest in Baseball and sometimes I purchase the MLB package in order to watch games through the season (just for my own enjoyment - not trading). With the new season starting yesterday I were all set for trading in play this season though (I did a little bit last season).

What I found were that there were the slight possibility to trade pre-start but the in-play were basically impossible. No money at all :-( Extremely disappointing I must admit as I have a couple of strategies I thought had a really good chance of success and I wanted to try.

Maybe it were the games I were looking at but in many games the back price simply didn't shift from 1.01 for both teams the entire time :-( I'll keep an eye on it from time to time as maybe it were because it were the start of the season and people hadn't realised it had started yet?

I for one would be jumping for joy if Betfair were ever allowed to operate in the US as clearly the liquidity for baseball would go through the roof and the in-play would then be possible. Shame it's never likely to happen though.
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LeTiss
Posts: 4841
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

I'll have another look, but Baseball liquidity seemed to dwindle when BF started banning certain locations

There's an interest there pre-match, but you can't trade in large numbers, as you'll end up with a huge liability through not getting matched, and IP trading being hopeless.
tc_uk
Posts: 18
Joined: Sat Apr 29, 2017 2:50 am

LeTiss wrote:
Fri Mar 30, 2018 11:14 am
There's an interest there pre-match, but you can't trade in large numbers, as you'll end up with a huge liability through not getting matched, and IP trading being hopeless.
Unfortunately, that does seem to be the current situation :(
It's a pity though as imo baseball could be a really good sport to trade given how the sport is played out.
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