Football match Pressure metric

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britguy
Posts: 22
Joined: Fri Dec 08, 2017 4:44 pm

Slightly off topic but I have been watching a youtube video showing a football match scanner that has a metric called "Pressure Index" which they are plugging as a useful imminent goal predictor. I was pondering their definition for it and cant decide if their parameter is dumb or I am being dumb in interpreting it. Probably the latter I know :D They define it as :

Pressure Index uses data from the last 10 minutes. It is highlighted when the sum of home and away PI is greater than 70 or higher

Calculations
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Each Shot On Target = 10 Points
Each Shot Off Target = 10 Points
Each 5% of possession = 1 point

Does the possession parameter make any sense ? Surely the home and away possession percent will add up to 100 at all times, so will contribute 100% = 100/5 = 20 points all the time, regardless of it they take the figure now or 10 mins ago or average it ?

At least It got me thinking of what a good metric would be for determining pressure in a match. Has anyone done any work on this or wants to speculate on some possible algorithms for this. I would be interested in further thoughts

Regards Geoff
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darchas
Posts: 301
Joined: Fri Sep 07, 2018 7:55 pm

Sofascore's attack momentum is not a bad representation of pressure in a match. The challenge with all these things is around quality - quality of possession and intent, quality of shot etc. The other crucial thing is about the odds, just a view of the likelihood of a goal is not to say that the odds on offer are value in that respect.
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