I'm not sure if this is really simple and I'm confusing myself or if it's not actually possible.
Is there a way to calculate how likely it is that odds will move from one point to another?
For example
If you laid at 1.02 there is a 98% chance you will lose but is it possible to work out the chances that odds will touch 1.5?
This must be over 2% but I cannot think if there is a way of calculating this.
Thanks
Calculate percentage chance of odds movement
Thank you. At least I can stop trying to stretch my maths knowledge to its limit!!
For clarification this was specifically relating to tennis. For the last couple of months I have been tracking this data so I will carry on building a data set to work from.
For clarification this was specifically relating to tennis. For the last couple of months I have been tracking this data so I will carry on building a data set to work from.
That's the way to do it.
You can short cut the process somewhat by using Tennis trader to model matches. That will tell you when the odds will be hit and the implied change the market is likely that this will happen.