Great post.firlandsfarm wrote: ↑Thu Mar 25, 2021 9:57 ambeermonsterman wrote: ↑Wed Mar 24, 2021 7:54 amHugh is a tipster on AT THE RACES he has that many followers his selections sometimes moves the markets when everyone jumps on they bring the price down and sometimes you can catch a nice trade when the price retracts backwearthefoxhat wrote: ↑Wed Mar 24, 2021 10:06 amHere is his "record"
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However....River Nymph on Saturday is not 14/1....(Ante-Post, so not sure when advised)
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His record is still fair going, but the prices advertised aren't readily available. If you're able get on early, and trade out, then you've cracked it.beermonsterman wrote: ↑Wed Mar 24, 2021 10:38 amI'm sure he jumps on with his pals before he puts them up to the public and that's why you can never get the price he saysHmmm, I've done my research on this one guys, thanks for all your comments but I think you are all being overly generous with your comments that hover on respect! Maybe 'everyone' does try to jump on but very few if any are successful. Maybe Mr Teeny is on the right path ... if those 'people' do this and some of those 'people' are bookmakers then you can bet they will reduce their prices immediately so they will be way ahead of you! But that won't put off punters. I wonder how many average punters understand Value? We know that the number of winners is irrelevant if the win returns don't cover the lost bets but I guess many punters see tips such as Hugh's as tips for winners and not tips for value so they think "so what if I can't get 25/1 anymore at 15/1 I still get a good pay day"! Idiots.
It would be easy to check by going to OddsChecker and looking up the historical prices for the bookmakers. I'm sided with Cann Berry on this one but even if his tips are genuine they are worthless if you can't get on. One of the easiest things to do is to show you are a good tipster by claiming odds only you (if anyone!) could have got. Remember bookmaker affiliate commissions are paid on punter losses so the tipster who can encourage you to place the most bets on losers is the tipster who earns the most commission! Just rest on that for a minute.
It’s all about the hits.