Risk reward ratio

Trading is often about how to take the appropriate risk without exposing yourself to very human flaws.
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azfyazfy
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If anybody have any confusion regarding this ask
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azfyazfy
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Situation 1
Suppose you lay team A 500000 at 1.5 odds and now it's available to be back at 1.36
So you now left with these 3 options

Option A
Team A: -63559
Team B: -12712

Option B
Team A: -24193
Team B: -120969

Option C
Team A: -50000
Team B: -50000


Situation 2
Suppose you back team A 500000 at 1.5 odds and now it's available to be lay at 1.36
So you now left with these 3 options

Option A
Team A: +73530
Team B: -14706

Option B
Team A: -83334
Team B: +416669

Option C
Team A: +50000
Team B: +50000
Last edited by azfyazfy on Mon Oct 03, 2022 10:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Dallas
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Is there a question to go with that post or is it a statement?
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azfyazfy
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It's a question
assume yourself in both the scenario and which option you going to choose
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Dallas
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How are you arriving at those options?
especially the 50K profit and 50K loss in option C
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azfyazfy
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That's my risk to reward calculation
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Archangel
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I am confused. What prices are team A and B at for each of the 3 options ?
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azfyazfy
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Team A: odds 1.36
Team B: odds 3.75

For each of these options
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Derek27
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azfyazfy wrote:
Mon Oct 03, 2022 6:24 pm
Team A: odds 1.36
Team B: odds 3.75

For each of these options
Can you show the bets you'd place to leave yourself in a -50K/-50K position?
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azfyazfy
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I think you are confuse, ok let me clear all your doubt.

I laid team A 500000 @ 1.5 (decimal odds) now team A odds reduced and now it's available @ 1.36 (decimal odds) i backed 550000. So now on both team I am loosing -50000
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Dallas
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azfyazfy wrote:
Mon Oct 03, 2022 8:02 pm
I think you are confuse, ok let me clear all your doubt.

I laid team A 500000 @ 1.5 (decimal odds) now team A odds reduced and now it's available @ 1.36 (decimal odds) i backed 550000. So now on both team I am loosing -50000
Some times you might have a strategy or reason to leave more of your profits on one selection
But when trading 99% of the time you would green up a position (profit or loss) so its always option C
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azfyazfy
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If you choose option c on both the scenario you have no value your value is 0, there is a reason behind it.

https://youtu.be/vBX-KulgJ1o
Last edited by azfyazfy on Mon Oct 03, 2022 8:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Derek27
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azfyazfy wrote:
Mon Oct 03, 2022 8:02 pm
I think you are confuse, ok let me clear all your doubt.

I laid team A 500000 @ 1.5 (decimal odds) now team A odds reduced and now it's available @ 1.36 (decimal odds) i backed 550000. So now on both team I am loosing -50000
It all depends on whether you're trading or punting. If you're punting the value depends on your assessment of the match, so your choice can be different depending on the market.
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azfyazfy
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I think it's not about trading or punting it's all about value. So if you don't get value your short term results will be random distribution but in long term you going to loose. It's a fact.
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Derek27
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azfyazfy wrote:
Mon Oct 03, 2022 9:00 pm
I think it's not about trading or punting it's all about value. So if you don't get value your short term results will be random distribution but in long term you going to loose. It's a fact.
Value depends on who's playing, not simply the odds. You can't tell what's value from your scenario.
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