Can I Place a Betfair SP Bet?

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ShaunWhite
Posts: 9731
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

firlandsfarm wrote:
Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:27 am
'fraid not Shaun (and welcome back :) just remember one thing ... don't let the bastards grind you down :) ) .
Hi :) I think the motto is "Illegitimi non carborundum."
firlandsfarm wrote:
Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:27 am
My turn ... have you got any examples?! :) According to my data, of the 1027 races run in UK and Ireland this year 355 had a BSP book below 100%, I wouldn't have expected the market odds to so equate ... do you have any knowledge of the accuracy of the projected BSP, it's something I keep meaning to monitor but haven't got around to it because before now I've not seen a real use for it.
Well over a relatively small sample, about 500 randomly selected races (UK horses win mkt), I recorded the difference between the last mid price (implied%) and the BSP (implied%).

As you can see most BSPs are about +/- ¼% from the last mid and I didn't actually have any that are over 1% away. It really suprised me.
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