Hi I think the motto is "Illegitimi non carborundum."firlandsfarm wrote: ↑Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:27 am'fraid not Shaun (and welcome back just remember one thing ... don't let the bastards grind you down ) .
Well over a relatively small sample, about 500 randomly selected races (UK horses win mkt), I recorded the difference between the last mid price (implied%) and the BSP (implied%).firlandsfarm wrote: ↑Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:27 amMy turn ... have you got any examples?! According to my data, of the 1027 races run in UK and Ireland this year 355 had a BSP book below 100%, I wouldn't have expected the market odds to so equate ... do you have any knowledge of the accuracy of the projected BSP, it's something I keep meaning to monitor but haven't got around to it because before now I've not seen a real use for it.
As you can see most BSPs are about +/- ¼% from the last mid and I didn't actually have any that are over 1% away. It really suprised me.