I agree that laying Fillon at 6 still carries value. His progression from around 9-ish since his judicial problems are based on rumored hidden voters, but he's far from being anti-system as was Trump (not talking about his trailing Macron and Le Pen by 5-6% in every first round poll).ShaunWhite wrote: ↑Mon Apr 03, 2017 8:11 pmI know this is after the event so won't mean much but I typed a long message last night on this topic recommending backing Melenchon at 55's and laying Fillon at 5.2 on some overnight news...and didn't hit send Today they are at 36 and 6.2 and I wish I'd been a bit braver about my offset and measily stake. Next time I must remember to hit send.
£2.77 ... not quite up to the price of a decent bottle of chateau mouton rothschild yet.
The question is how will the market quote a H2H between Macron and Le Pen between both rounds. I suspect Fillon's current market share (5/1) will be evenly redistributed between both candidates. I cannot see her getting elected though. That's why I think that 1.72, Macron is back-able.
Just my thoughts:)