Peterborough by-Election

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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ShaunWhite
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Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

LeTiss wrote:
Thu Jun 06, 2019 10:50 pm
Brexit Party still trading at 1.28
If you believe those figures, they could be worth a lay, surely
He shoots, he scores.....again. :D
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BetScalper
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Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:47 pm

ShaunWhite wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2019 2:20 am
superfrank wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2019 1:43 am
Disgraceful coverage on Sky going on about TBP funding and filming Farage going into the gents.
I wouldn't have Sky or watch Sky if you paid me, I'm suprised you do.
This is why the country is split. And we need a civil war.
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brimson25
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During the Cricket World Cup? Can't we at least wait till after that, please?
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ShaunWhite
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Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

BetScalper wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2019 2:35 am
we need a civil war.
Perhaps all those tv pics this week of 90 year old men crying didn't move you? I've got a framed embroidery my grandad made of his regimental crest while in his hospital bed, recovering from having his arse and the backs of his legs blown off, he wouldn't agree with you.
greenmark
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Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Shaun's spot on.
War is good for absolutely nothing.
Warmongers are the scum of humanity.
greenmark
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Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Actually, I think I've gone off topic with the previous post.
Essentially Peterborough has gone from being a Lab/Con marginal to a Lab/Brexit marginal.
It was a leave constituency, but has now rejected Brexit, albeit marginally.
Given Brexit was about uniting the Conservative party so they can get elected, doesn't this tell us something? They were trounced.
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ruthlessimon
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Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm

The fact it was (& always has been) a marginal shoulda been a massive warning sign @ 1.30

Something I'll defo keep in mind next time for by's

People, including myself, put far too much emphasis on the 60% leave vote
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ShaunWhite
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ruthlessimon wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2019 6:54 pm
People, including myself, put far too much emphasis on the 60% leave vote
The 'no deal' voters, ie the brexit party voters, are only a subset of the overall leave vote, the tail end of the bell curve. I'm not seeing much evidence to say that more than 50% of leavers want no deal, making that the preferred outcome of iro 25% of the electorate. In a 60/40 ward, 50% of 60% makes it about 30%. With the brexit party on 28.89% and the UKIPs on 1.18%, that makes 30.07%.
greenmark
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But stepping back....its bloody weird that Brexit is still affecting politics 3 years on.
spreadbetting
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Joined: Sun Jan 31, 2010 8:06 pm

ShaunWhite wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2019 5:30 pm
BetScalper wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2019 2:35 am
we need a civil war.
Perhaps all those tv pics this week of 90 year old men crying didn't move you? I've got a framed embroidery my grandad made of his regimental crest while in his hospital bed, recovering from having his arse and the backs of his legs blown off, he wouldn't agree with you.
Have a day off pontificating for once, Shaun, I doubt it was anything other than a throwaway remark.
Emmson
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spreadbetting wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2019 10:48 pm
ShaunWhite wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2019 5:30 pm
BetScalper wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2019 2:35 am
we need a civil war.
Have a day off pontificating for once, Shaun, I doubt it was anything other than a throwaway remark.
BetScalper has displayed war fever over and over again on this forum.
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BetScalper
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Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 10:47 pm

Get a grip of yourselves.

I have served in Iraq and Afghanistan 3 times. I am fully aware of War and it’s consequences.

In Iraq I lost 5 friends and in Afghanistan 9 in total.

Seeing mates limbs hanging from trees as bait tends to focus your mind in what’s wrong and right in life.

My grandad also served in India, France and then Germany before taking his own life shortly after returning home to Kent where he worked as MOD police.

I make no apologies to anyone on this forum for my previous comments about this country and politics which has gone to pot and then some.

As I once explained to Shaun, the Labour Party threw away probably the best politician to lead this country and now we are stuck with muppets, none of which I would ever follow into battle with.

Don’t like the comments I make, fair enough but I will never apologise for making them, ever.
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ShaunWhite
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Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

BetScalper wrote:
Sat Jun 08, 2019 12:37 am
Don’t like the comments I make, fair enough but I will never apologise for making them, ever.
Our freedom to disagree is testiment to those who, like you, have served. I respect you for that, genuinely, but I hope you can see why that remark made in this particular week, might be interpreted as being insensitive or controversial by some, even if it isn't to you. Neither of us are the type to shut up and turn the other cheek, and long may that be the case. It's corny, but that usually means there's more similarities than differences, even though that thought isn't especially palatable for either of us. ;) I think we should settle for an uneasy peace based on mutually assured destruction.
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superfrank
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70% of votes were postal votes when the national average is 18%.
The Labour campaign was being helped by a convicted fraudster who served time for rigging an election.
Labour has form with postal vote fraud.
I wonder if the supposed independent Electoral Commission will be as keen on looking into this as they are with the finances of pro-Brexit organisations.
neilb
Posts: 52
Joined: Thu Oct 15, 2009 8:17 pm

superfrank wrote:
Sat Jun 08, 2019 10:28 am
70% of votes were postal votes when the national average is 18%.
70% of those who requested a postal vote used them, not 70% of total votes were postal votes.
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