US Presidential Election 2020

Punting on politics
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Korattt
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* BREAKING NEWS*

Trump reckons “BIG VOTER FRAUD INFO COMING” in the not too distant, just checking on the POTUS market & it seems to either be closed, suspended or in limbo?
Zenyatta
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megarain wrote:
Sat Nov 21, 2020 9:21 am
Biggest ever bet on an exchange possibly ever in a legal jurisdiction just went through Betfair. Single bet of £10 million pounds on Biden at 1.05. Free half a million pounds. Nice

From IPLTrevor on Twitter
Peter got in and put his bank on :D
Korattt wrote:
Sat Nov 21, 2020 3:13 pm
* BREAKING NEWS*

Trump reckons “BIG VOTER FRAUD INFO COMING” in the not too distant, just checking on the POTUS market & it seems to either be closed, suspended or in limbo?
The Betfair market is still open, with Trump now at 25-1 and drifting. Once the odds of something have fallen that low, you can generally forget about it.

Trump has known for a while that he has no chance, he just wants to crap on Biden's parade, so to speak.

I wouldn't be surprised to see him dragging out the drama for another couple of weeks, but he'll concede once all the certifications are done (before Dec 8th).
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megarain
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FWIW I agree.

The popular vote winner has also moved into 1.02/1.03
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Derek27
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Zenyatta wrote:
Sat Nov 21, 2020 3:26 pm
The Betfair market is still open, with Trump now at 25-1 and drifting. Once the odds of something have fallen that low, you can generally forget about it.
What does "generally" mean, 95% of the time? ;)
Zenyatta wrote:
Sat Nov 21, 2020 3:26 pm
I wouldn't be surprised to see him dragging out the drama for another couple of weeks, but he'll concede once all the certifications are done (before Dec 8th).
I can't imagine Trump ever conceding. He might walk out of the White House of his own free will and accept he's no longer the president, but that's not the same as conceding. He'll continue to insist to his dying day that the election was rigged and he was the rightful winner.
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gazuty
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Derek27 wrote:
Sun Nov 22, 2020 2:59 am
I can't imagine Trump ever conceding. He might walk out of the White House of his own free will and accept he's no longer the president, but that's not the same as conceding. He'll continue to insist to his dying day that the election was rigged and he was the rightful winner.
I agree with your assessment Derek. Just as he never accepted he lost popular vote to Hilary in 2016.

On other hand some people (eg NYT, the guardian, some dems etc) never accepted the outcome of 2016 election was legitimate blaming Russian interference among others. A bit like remoaners not accepting Brexit.

Trump is doing something similar. Trumps actions strike at the legitimacy of the democratic outcome but so did the complaints from the losers in 2016. It’s all goose and gander.
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abgespaced
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Massive market flucs coming this week. I expect to see some large moves by Friday.

Edit: this is only my opinion. obviously.
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Derek27
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I forgot about this thread, it virtually fell off the board. :)
abgespaced wrote:
Mon Nov 23, 2020 10:21 pm
Edit: this is only my opinion. obviously.
The clue was in the words "I expect". ;)
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abgespaced
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Derek27 wrote:
Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:02 pm
I forgot about this thread, it virtually fell off the board. :)
Best opportunity to profit, when nobody is expecting it.
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jimibt
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abgespaced wrote:
Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:06 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:02 pm
I forgot about this thread, it virtually fell off the board. :)
Best opportunity to profit, when nobody is expecting it.
you clever little bettor - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-us-2020-55052640
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gazuty
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Trump has tweeted to let the transition begin (while of course not conceding).

Will this be enough for market to settle?
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