US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Euler
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Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
Location: Bet Angel HQ

Somebody just took a massive amount of money on Biden at 1.03. Was checking my position when all the money at 1.03 vanished

ss 2020-12-04 at 15.45.49.png
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jamesg46
Posts: 3769
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Trader Pat wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 1:42 pm
Euler wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 1:39 pm
One of the curious things I've noticed about markets is that people make a decision then try and find evidence to support that.

In reality you need to do completely the opposite.
This thread left reality a while back
Embrace it Pat, other realities exist outside of your own perspective. It's what makes the market... I wanna hear it & see it in terms of theory and liquidity.

Who cares if an opinion is right or wrong, you'll only be banging your head agaisnt a brick wall trying to change someone elses beliefs.
jamesg46
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Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

The real question & the only question I have is who can afford to buy this guy his Happy Meal :lol:

https://twitter.com/Henryhooddavis/stat ... 89056?s=19
rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am
Location: London

Euler wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 3:48 pm
Somebody just took a massive amount of money on Biden at 1.03. Was checking my position when all the money at 1.03 vanished


ss 2020-12-04 at 15.45.49.png
been observing the matched amounts manually the last couple of weeks just by comparing the amounts on screenshots/recording seems the majority of the total matched is made up of a few very big bets
Generally the price has been moved up and down a tick between 1.06-03 by a multi million bet
still highly efficient scalping the last 3 weeks for how stable the price has been, often better price to lay trump than back biden
seems like when the states got certified it caused the drop to 1.03/04
mean average bet size must be way higher than in a horse race
rik
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Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am
Location: London

if you want to have a laugh, star witness

https://youtu.be/G2f3aw9rk30
jamesg46
Posts: 3769
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

rik wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 6:33 pm
if you want to have a laugh, star witness

https://youtu.be/G2f3aw9rk30
:lol:
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

jamesg46 wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 5:35 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 1:42 pm
This thread left reality a while back
Embrace it Pat, other realities exist outside of your own perspective. It's what makes the market... I wanna hear it & see it in terms of theory and liquidity.

Who cares if an opinion is right or wrong, you'll only be banging your head agaisnt a brick wall trying to change someone elses beliefs.
There's only one reality James and we're all part of it, there are no alternative realities just like there are no alternative facts.

I agree trying to change somebody elses beliefs is pointless and I wouldnt bother trying but in the case of this particular subject I think stupid should be called out when you see it and there has been a whole lot of stupid on this thread over the past few months especially the past few days.

I've actually enjoyed a lot of the back and forth but some of the stuff is heading into 'Flat Earth' territory
jamesg46
Posts: 3769
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Trader Pat wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 7:43 pm
jamesg46 wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 5:35 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 1:42 pm
This thread left reality a while back
Embrace it Pat, other realities exist outside of your own perspective. It's what makes the market... I wanna hear it & see it in terms of theory and liquidity.

Who cares if an opinion is right or wrong, you'll only be banging your head agaisnt a brick wall trying to change someone elses beliefs.
There's only one reality James and we're all part of it, there are no alternative realities just like there are no alternative facts.

I agree trying to change somebody elses beliefs is pointless and I wouldnt bother trying but in the case of this particular subject I think stupid should be called out when you see it and there has been a whole lot of stupid on this thread over the past few months especially the past few days.

I've actually enjoyed a lot of the back and forth but some of the stuff is heading into 'Flat Earth' territory
I disagree, 7.5 billion people live an individual reality & what do you mean, is the earth not flat?
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Euler
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Location: Bet Angel HQ

Trader Pat
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jamesg46 wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 7:47 pm
I disagree, 7.5 billion people live an individual reality & what do you mean, is the earth not flat?
Did you get that from a self help book or a TED talk? ;)

If we all lived in an individual reality then would we be aware of each other, sounds like you're describing a parallel reality rather than an individual one
Last edited by Trader Pat on Fri Dec 04, 2020 8:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Trader Pat
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Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Euler wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 8:03 pm
This is funny - https://youtu.be/ydlE8grvF-k?t=80
That is exactly what you would get if you put Donald Trump and Sarah Palin into the pod from The Fly movie :D
jamesg46
Posts: 3769
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Trader Pat wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 8:09 pm
jamesg46 wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 7:47 pm
I disagree, 7.5 billion people live an individual reality & what do you mean, is the earth not flat?
Did you get that from a self help book or a TED talk? ;)

If we all lived in an individual reality then would we be aware of each other, sounds like you're describing a parallel reality rather than an individual one
I meant the individual characteristics that build up each individual persons reality but anyway, we need move on to flat earth since you brought it up.

Don't have me searching TED for round earth theories ;)
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

jamesg46 wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 8:16 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 8:09 pm
jamesg46 wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 7:47 pm
I disagree, 7.5 billion people live an individual reality & what do you mean, is the earth not flat?
Did you get that from a self help book or a TED talk? ;)

If we all lived in an individual reality then would we be aware of each other, sounds like you're describing a parallel reality rather than an individual one
I meant the individual characteristics that build up each individual persons reality but anyway, we need move on to flat earth since you brought it up.

Don't have me searching TED for round earth theories ;)
Hmm there could be money to be made from this 'Round Earth Theory' :P
jamesg46
Posts: 3769
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Trader Pat wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 8:23 pm
jamesg46 wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 8:16 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 8:09 pm


Did you get that from a self help book or a TED talk? ;)

If we all lived in an individual reality then would we be aware of each other, sounds like you're describing a parallel reality rather than an individual one
I meant the individual characteristics that build up each individual persons reality but anyway, we need move on to flat earth since you brought it up.

Don't have me searching TED for round earth theories ;)
Hmm there could be money to be made from this 'Round Earth Theory' :P
:lol: I know... crazy right. If only hey.
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Derek27
Posts: 23674
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

Trader Pat wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 8:09 pm
jamesg46 wrote:
Fri Dec 04, 2020 7:47 pm
I disagree, 7.5 billion people live an individual reality & what do you mean, is the earth not flat?
Did you get that from a self help book or a TED talk? ;)

If we all lived in an individual reality then would we be aware of each other, sounds like you're describing a parallel reality rather than an individual one
The theory is, you're the only person in the world and everybody else is just a figment of your imagination. :)
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