US Presidential Election 2020

[Trader Pat]

Low-energy & gaffe prone Joe is comfortably ahead

Doesn't say much for the other bloke!

[Derek27]

Microphones will be muted in the next debate. I presume that's only when the candidate misbehaves.

[firlandsfarm]

Microphones will be muted in the next debate. I presume that's only when the candidate misbehaves.

No ... it's when the producer doesn't agree with what the guy is saying!

[jamesedwards]

The market has just passed the £150m matched milestone.

[Derek27]

Microphones will be muted in the next debate. I presume that's only when the candidate misbehaves.

No ... it's when the producer doesn't agree with what the guy is saying!

It would be a good idea if they just cut them off after they've had the two minutes. Us traders have a ticking clock in front of us when placing last-minute trades, know and face consequences if we fail to close on time. The candidates must have clocks in front of them but both sides of all debates always push it and try to get a few words in.

Biden just needs to be cool and let Trump make an arse of himself. In fact, it's almost like me and Luke. I just need to stay calm, absorb the insults and stick to the facts.

[Naffman]

Microphones will be muted in the next debate. I presume that's only when the candidate misbehaves.

No ... it's when the producer doesn't agree with what the guy is saying!

It would be a good idea if they just cut them off after they've had the two minutes. Us traders have a ticking clock in front of us when placing last-minute trades, know and face consequences if we fail to close on time. The candidates must have clocks in front of them but both sides of all debates always push it and try to get a few words in.

Biden just needs to be cool and let Trump make an arse of himself. In fact, it's almost like me and Luke. I just need to stay calm, absorb the insults and stick to the facts.

I don't think it'll have too much effect given there'll be very few people still on the fence.

Trump's downfall is he will look a tosser shouting with nothing coming out but Biden will actually have to talk for 2 minutes this time.

[wearthefoxhat]

No ... it's when the producer doesn't agree with what the guy is saying!

It would be a good idea if they just cut them off after they've had the two minutes. Us traders have a ticking clock in front of us when placing last-minute trades, know and face consequences if we fail to close on time. The candidates must have clocks in front of them but both sides of all debates always push it and try to get a few words in.

Biden just needs to be cool and let Trump make an arse of himself. In fact, it's almost like me and Luke. I just need to stay calm, absorb the insults and stick to the facts.

I don't think it'll have too much effect given there'll be very few people still on the fence.

Trump's downfall is he will look a tosser shouting with nothing coming out but Biden will actually have to talk for 2 minutes this time.

In some poker tournaments they have a shot-clock to ensure the player speeds up their play, maybe they could use one. In this case the candidate that exceeds 2 minutes runs the risk of being shot....or have I missed something...

[Derek27]

Chess clocks have worked perfectly for the last century. You would think by now a debate could be organised fairly. What irritates me is that the moderator never has control of the debate and just gets shouted over by Trump.

[LeTiss]

Quite interesting that you can still get 1.08 on Trump NOT leaving before the end of his 1st term

I'm assuming some are forming an opinion that he may walk before the election, if a victory looks impossible?

[marksmeets302]

Quite interesting that you can still get 1.08 on Trump NOT leaving before the end of his 1st term

I'm assuming some are forming an opinion that he may walk before the election, if a victory looks impossible?

I've been following that market, the odds have been like that for quite some time. I used to think it was because of the chance of him dying from corona, but then there should be more of a time-decay effect; with every day passing there is less time for him to get it a second time, and there is little more than 2 months before this market expires. So yes, I agree. There must be a feeling he will walk away in anger. Either before or just after the election.

[The dog of ry]

Quite interesting that you can still get 1.08 on Trump NOT leaving before the end of his 1st term

I'm assuming some are forming an opinion that he may walk before the election, if a victory looks impossible?

Or maybe that he actually does catch Covid

[Naffman]

Quite interesting that you can still get 1.08 on Trump NOT leaving before the end of his 1st term

I'm assuming some are forming an opinion that he may walk before the election, if a victory looks impossible?

Or maybe that he actually does catch Covid

But then Pence wouldn't be back to 1000

[gazuty]

Quite interesting that you can still get 1.08 on Trump NOT leaving before the end of his 1st term

I'm assuming some are forming an opinion that he may walk before the election, if a victory looks impossible?

Or maybe that he actually does catch Covid

That reflects he loses election and leaves pre 20 January.

And Trump has already threatened that. Imho it’s worth back pence for 10@1000 to be sworn in pre Biden. It’s just the sort of stunt Trump would pull.

[LeTiss]

Quite interesting that you can still get 1.08 on Trump NOT leaving before the end of his 1st term

I'm assuming some are forming an opinion that he may walk before the election, if a victory looks impossible?

Or maybe that he actually does catch Covid

That reflects he loses election and leaves pre 20 January.

And Trump has already threatened that. Imho it’s worth back pence for 10@1000 to be sworn in pre Biden. It’s just the sort of stunt Trump would pull.

Ah, excellent piece of information. I hadn't looked at the rules on this market

In that case, it's worth a little dabble. A strange aspect of US politics.......if you've been voted out of office, why wait for another 2 months to hand over the baton? At least in the UK, the beaten PM is packing their bags the following morning

[LeTiss]

There's a significant WoM on Biden right now