US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

Euler wrote:
Wed Nov 25, 2020 4:08 pm
Curiously the volume this afternoon has dropped back towards £1bn?!!?!!?!?



ss 2020-11-25 at 16.03.32.png
Do they use Dominion software?
jamesg46
Posts: 3769
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Jukebox wrote:
Wed Nov 25, 2020 5:45 pm
Euler wrote:
Wed Nov 25, 2020 4:08 pm
Curiously the volume this afternoon has dropped back towards £1bn?!!?!!?!?



ss 2020-11-25 at 16.03.32.png
Do they use Dominion software?
:lol: this was my comment to the Twitter post.
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Naffman
Posts: 5636
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

The 'big spikes' that occurred in PA, Biden received 570,000 votes whilst Trump got 3,200 - Biden back out to 1.05
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Naffman
Posts: 5636
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

1.07/08 with 13k either side, scalpers seemed to have evaporated
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

Naffman wrote:
Wed Nov 25, 2020 8:07 pm
The 'big spikes' that occurred in PA, Biden received 570,000 votes whilst Trump got 3,200 - Biden back out to 1.05
Trump team putting their case live now in Pennsylvania

https://www.c-span.org/video/?478422-1/ ... overturned
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jimibt
Posts: 3653
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2015 6:42 pm
Location: Narnia

Jukebox wrote:
Wed Nov 25, 2020 8:22 pm
Naffman wrote:
Wed Nov 25, 2020 8:07 pm
The 'big spikes' that occurred in PA, Biden received 570,000 votes whilst Trump got 3,200 - Biden back out to 1.05
Trump team putting their case live now in Pennsylvania

https://www.c-span.org/video/?478422-1/ ... overturned
dang, there is no YAWN emoji!! :D
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abgespaced
Posts: 176
Joined: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:25 am
Location: Australia

Trump will flip at least one of these states.

Smart move is to lay all 6 of them.

Strap yourselves in.
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Derek27
Posts: 23614
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

abgespaced wrote:
Thu Nov 26, 2020 1:02 am
Trump will flip at least one of these states.

Smart move is to lay all 6 of them.

Strap yourselves in.
:lol:
Zenyatta
Posts: 1143
Joined: Thu Mar 11, 2010 4:17 pm

*zenyatta groans*

Trump's price back in to 15s. What the heck do people have to do to finally get rid of this guy and settle the market? :evil:
Emmson
Posts: 3375
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

If the market isn't settled soon Trump will tweet a screenshot of it with a CAPS LOCK loaded message to accompany it. ;)
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Naffman
Posts: 5636
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Zenyatta wrote:
Thu Nov 26, 2020 1:43 am
*zenyatta groans*

Trump's price back in to 15s. What the heck do people have to do to finally get rid of this guy and settle the market? :evil:
If BF settle now and Trump ends up being the eventual winner would you deposit your winnings and stake to cover the negative hole BF would have? They'd be chasing potentially tens of thousands of people whilst looking at a 9 figure loss.
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gazuty
Posts: 2547
Joined: Sun Jun 26, 2011 11:03 am
Location: Green land :)

A bit of history on flipping the result.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/history/ ... ion-trump/

So long ago the NYT was republican.
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megarain
Posts: 2048
Joined: Thu May 16, 2013 1:26 pm
Contact:

https://www.docdroid.com/e3rhDCz/compla ... 252020-pdf

Georgia filing.

This might run a while - 1.07/8
jamesg46
Posts: 3769
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Anyone confused over that move?

My theory (for what it's worth) is, the market is full of people who don't fully understand the complexity of the US Electoral system (me included) & are placing their bets with a conformation bias they're getting from 2 min biased news segments (works both ways.) Hardly anyone can be arsed to watch anything longer than a Tik Tok video.

I'm not saying Biden won't win (pom pom insurance) but I've always thought there is a bias in the market, left msm is way bigger than right.
sionascaig
Posts: 1065
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

Its all a bit bizarre - the lawsuit effectively says you can't trust the automated system as some Johnny Foreigners have been involved in the design however the "hand recount" matches the automated count so looks like it will be thrown out for lack of evidence..
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