They might have just come out of a 4-year coma.
US Presidential Election 2020
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Crazyskier
- Posts: 1166
- Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm
Trump seems to be good at entirely ignoring a question and changing subject (like the 500 missing parents) but anyone with half a brain can see right through that, it's just a question of how many Americans have half a brain. 
As for Biden, I'm not doubting is mental capacity but if he's struggling to communicate and get the right words out (at one point I think he gave up trying to pronounce a place), unless he's always been like that (can barely remember him speaking as vice-president) it's only going to get worse over a four-year period.
As for Biden, I'm not doubting is mental capacity but if he's struggling to communicate and get the right words out (at one point I think he gave up trying to pronounce a place), unless he's always been like that (can barely remember him speaking as vice-president) it's only going to get worse over a four-year period.
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Trader Pat
- Posts: 4327
- Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm
You're right, the polls in the battleground states are tightening and they'll probably be even tighter come election day. But Trump's biggest problem is the polls are close in battleground states he won comfortably in 2016 and also there are less undecided voters at this stage of the race than 4 years ago which swung it in Trump's favour at the end and made the pollsters look silly.
Trump has to hold on to most of the battlegrounds he won in 2016 to win reelection, Biden only has to turn a few of them blue. If Biden was to win Florida it would make it almost impossible for Trump to get the 270 he needs, so even if they were to evenly split the battleground states it wouldn't be enough for Trump.
Worth remembering as well that even with all the states Trump won in 2016 he still only barely won the election.
The betting seems to disagree with the polls. After Trump's couldn't care less attitude about children being torn away from their parents and a partial denial of it, I'd be surprised if some voters weren't put off.
Yes a Republican has no chance without Florida...I know you don't like Rasmussen but an hour ago they put Trump up 4pts there.Trader Pat wrote: ↑Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:58 pmYou're right, the polls in the battleground states are tightening and they'll probably be even tighter come election day. But Trump's biggest problem is the polls are close in battleground states he won comfortably in 2016 and also there are less undecided voters at this stage of the race than 4 years ago which swung it in Trump's favour at the end and made the pollsters look silly.
Trump has to hold on to most of the battlegrounds he won in 2016 to win reelection, Biden only has to turn a few of them blue. If Biden was to win Florida it would make it almost impossible for Trump to get the 270 he needs, so even if they were to evenly split the battleground states it wouldn't be enough for Trump.
Worth remembering as well that even with all the states Trump won in 2016 he still only barely won the election.
Those battleground states he's added a lot of registered voters since 2016 compared to the democrats, especially this year where I think the Dems stopped going door to door due to covid...so I think he wins them by bigger margins which he has to really as they were very slim last time.
Texas and Georgia are key ones too, polls show a tie but I still reckon he holds them.