US Presidential Election 2024

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Derek27
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Trump company now under criminal investigation. :D
Trader Pat
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Derek27 wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 3:27 am
Trump company now under criminal investigation. :D
If Trump was found criminally liable that would be fun to watch and good television :D

But looking at it from a what's good for American politics, and a trading perspective it would be bad. I'd like to see him run so he can lose out in the Republican primary, that would quieten the loons if he didn't win the nomination from his own party. And also him running would push out the price of De Santis who is probably the most 'impressive candidate' (I use that term lightly)!
neilb
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Trader Pat wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 1:13 pm
If Trump was found criminally liable that would be fun to watch and good television :D

But looking at it from a what's good for American politics, and a trading perspective it would be bad. I'd like to see him run so he can lose out in the Republican primary, that would quieten the loons if he didn't win the nomination from his own party. And also him running would push out the price of De Santis who is probably the most 'impressive candidate' (I use that term lightly)!
A criminal conviction wouldn't necessarily stop him from running, being in jail on the other hand...
Trader Pat
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neilb wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 1:21 pm
A criminal conviction wouldn't necessarily stop him from running, being in jail on the other hand...
Can't see that happening even if he was found guilty of criminal behaviour.

He'd just throw somebody else under the bus and deny all knowledge.
neilb
Posts: 52
Joined: Thu Oct 15, 2009 8:17 pm

Trader Pat wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 1:24 pm
Can't see that happening even if he was found guilty of criminal behaviour.

He'd just throw somebody else under the bus and deny all knowledge.
I think if it goes anywhere there'll be quite a queue waiting to throw each other under the bus. :lol:
Trader Pat
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neilb wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 1:55 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 1:24 pm
Can't see that happening even if he was found guilty of criminal behaviour.

He'd just throw somebody else under the bus and deny all knowledge.
I think if it goes anywhere there'll be quite a queue waiting to throw each other under the bus. :lol:
Yep, you would need a very big bus! :D
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Naffman
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Trader Pat wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 1:13 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 3:27 am
Trump company now under criminal investigation. :D
If Trump was found criminally liable that would be fun to watch and good television :D

But looking at it from a what's good for American politics, and a trading perspective it would be bad. I'd like to see him run so he can lose out in the Republican primary, that would quieten the loons if he didn't win the nomination from his own party. And also him running would push out the price of De Santis who is probably the most 'impressive candidate' (I use that term lightly)!
Trump is well ahead in the primary polls if he does decide to run, I can't see it as surely someone has got to be telling him you've got no chance at the presidency (now I say that it seems very unlikely someone is) :lol:

Meanwhile DeSantis is on track to outperform Jeb Bush's governors victory back in 2002 when his brother was at the peak of his powers. He is polling strong with college grads and minorities but Biden is also polling well, Harrid on the other hand...
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Naffman wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 2:32 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 1:13 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 3:27 am
Trump company now under criminal investigation. :D
If Trump was found criminally liable that would be fun to watch and good television :D

But looking at it from a what's good for American politics, and a trading perspective it would be bad. I'd like to see him run so he can lose out in the Republican primary, that would quieten the loons if he didn't win the nomination from his own party. And also him running would push out the price of De Santis who is probably the most 'impressive candidate' (I use that term lightly)!
Trump is well ahead in the primary polls if he does decide to run, I can't see it as surely someone has got to be telling him you've got no chance at the presidency (now I say that it seems very unlikely someone is) :lol:

Meanwhile DeSantis is on track to outperform Jeb Bush's governors victory back in 2002 when his brother was at the peak of his powers. He is polling strong with college grads and minorities but Biden is also polling well, Harrid on the other hand...
Yeah De Santis has a lot of support within the party, it would be fascinating to see him take on Trump in the primaries.
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Derek27
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Naffman wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 2:32 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 1:13 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Wed May 19, 2021 3:27 am
Trump company now under criminal investigation. :D
If Trump was found criminally liable that would be fun to watch and good television :D

But looking at it from a what's good for American politics, and a trading perspective it would be bad. I'd like to see him run so he can lose out in the Republican primary, that would quieten the loons if he didn't win the nomination from his own party. And also him running would push out the price of De Santis who is probably the most 'impressive candidate' (I use that term lightly)!
Trump is well ahead in the primary polls if he does decide to run, I can't see it as surely someone has got to be telling him you've got no chance at the presidency (now I say that it seems very unlikely someone is) :lol:

Meanwhile DeSantis is on track to outperform Jeb Bush's governors victory back in 2002 when his brother was at the peak of his powers. He is polling strong with college grads and minorities but Biden is also polling well, Harrid on the other hand...
He doesn't take any notice of what people tell him. Nothing the American voters do would surprise me. He could even win the Nobel Peace Prize!
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Naffman
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2024 20.5.21 pres. poll.png
Pretty much shows what I'm seeing, Trump and Cruz have too many haters to win whereas DeSantis doing a lot better with Independents
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Naffman
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Anybody know how the best person to get in touch with to add markets, quite amazing considering how big Politics has grown that they don't have some nearby markets
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Derek27
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Joe.jpg
Kamala.jpg
Wanker who caused the riots.jpg
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Derek27
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Kai's girlfriend.jpg
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Naffman
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I do think Biden is most likely going to run again in 2024, think the public have realised the Dems won't want Biden to step aside for Harris so the only way she'll take over is if Biden dies.

Trump looking low though now isn't he, guess its priced in that if he runs he'll get the nomination. The midterms will be good for those looking for longshots.
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Derek27
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Naffman wrote:
Thu Aug 26, 2021 9:31 am
I do think Biden is most likely going to run again in 2024, think the public have realised the Dems won't want Biden to step aside for Harris so the only way she'll take over is if Biden dies.

Trump looking low though now isn't he, guess its priced in that if he runs he'll get the nomination. The midterms will be good for those looking for longshots.
Biden's really made an arse of himself over the withdrawal and his damage limitation has a lot to be desired.
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