North Shropshire by-election

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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jamesedwards
Posts: 2298
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Odds have flipflopped again. Is it the old daytime demographics skewing early pollster results? Or is there actually some tangible movement towards a >30% swing from Cons?

Con 2.04
Lib 1.94
Lab 200
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jamesedwards
Posts: 2298
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Plenty of cash flooded in for Lib then. Looked like someone took the price all the way down to 1.6 as Cons traded as high as 3.0.

Market correcting itself now...
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jamesedwards
Posts: 2298
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Just 3 hours to go. Anything before 7pm is likely mainly heart driven. Market moves from now on will be more likely based on inside info. No moves in the last hour.

Con 2.55
Lib 1.65
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jamesedwards
Posts: 2298
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Continued slow movement towards Lib Dem upset. Given the Betfair system issues and risk of further outage I've just bailed out with a small green on Con and Lib.

I can now watch the result unfold in a state of interested calm. :lol:
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jamesedwards
Posts: 2298
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Big flip flop. Seems the Tories have it in the bag.

Cons now into 1.6
Lib 2.4
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Derek27
Posts: 23605
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

jamesedwards wrote:
Thu Dec 16, 2021 10:48 pm
Big flip flop. Seems the Tories have it in the bag.

Cons now into 1.6
Lib 2.4
1.6 is far from being in the bag.
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Derek27
Posts: 23605
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

I can't believe Labour is helping the Tories again by making it hard for the LibDems!
Archery1969
Posts: 3211
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am
Location: Newport

LD are 1.77 now.

Jesus this market is flipping around.
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Derek27
Posts: 23605
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

:D :D :D You're finished BJ!
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jamesedwards
Posts: 2298
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Fri Dec 17, 2021 1:53 am
:D :D :D You're finished BJ!
Just switched on to see Lib Dem at 1.01! Wow! Seems like I got lucky.
Emmson
Posts: 3375
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Wonderful to witness, most dishonest & incompetent government in British history receives a bloody nose. :D
Lutruwita
Posts: 544
Joined: Sun Apr 26, 2015 12:54 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Fri Dec 17, 2021 1:53 am
:D :D :D You're finished BJ!
Isn't the next election 3 years away? :lol:
Emmson
Posts: 3375
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Aarondewit wrote:
Fri Dec 17, 2021 3:59 am
Derek27 wrote:
Fri Dec 17, 2021 1:53 am
:D :D :D You're finished BJ!
Isn't the next election 3 years away? :lol:
Boris will not make the election - Tory history is littered with them ousting their leader
Lutruwita
Posts: 544
Joined: Sun Apr 26, 2015 12:54 pm

Emmson wrote:
Fri Dec 17, 2021 4:21 am
Aarondewit wrote:
Fri Dec 17, 2021 3:59 am
Derek27 wrote:
Fri Dec 17, 2021 1:53 am
:D :D :D You're finished BJ!
Isn't the next election 3 years away? :lol:
Boris will not make the election - Tory history is littered with them ousting their leader
After 1 term?
Emmson
Posts: 3375
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

You don't have to go back far Theresa May
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