US midterms 2022

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Naffman
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Derek27 wrote:
Sat Nov 12, 2022 9:14 am
Democrats expected to keep control of the Senate with Arizona expected to go their way, though on the BBC map they already have that state!
Yeah it’s basically just the AZ governors race now, apparently a very friendly R batch is coming, whether it’s enough for Lake we will have to see
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gazuty
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Warning a few people have not read the rules in some of the markets for the US election.

King (Maine) and Sanders (Vermont) are independents, and not Democrats, even though they caucus with the Democrats.

BF rules are clear that independents do not count as Democrats. Some people have not read those rules.

Rules state as follows

“Note: A majority of seats requires either party to control at least 51 of the 100 Seats in the US Senate. Independent or any other party Representatives caucusing with either the Democrats or Republicans will NOT count for the purposes of this market.”

Without Sanders and King Dems do not reach 51 regardless of Georgia.

I understand it’s completely different from a political perspective, but we are talking betting rules here on this thread.
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Derek27
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gazuty wrote:
Sun Nov 13, 2022 7:00 am
Warning a few people have not read the rules in some of the markets for the US election.

King (Maine) and Sanders (Vermont) are independents, and not Democrats, even though they caucus with the Democrats.

BF rules are clear that independents do not count as Democrats. Some people have not read those rules.

Rules state as follows

“Note: A majority of seats requires either party to control at least 51 of the 100 Seats in the US Senate. Independent or any other party Representatives caucusing with either the Democrats or Republicans will NOT count for the purposes of this market.”

Without Sanders and King Dems do not reach 51 regardless of Georgia.

I understand it’s completely different from a political perspective, but we are talking betting rules here on this thread.
Verance posted about that a few posts further back, but since then the lay price for a Democrat majority has come down from 90 to 48. There's a free £11 if anyone wants it. :)
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gazuty
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verance wrote:
Fri Nov 11, 2022 9:42 am
There's a free 1% for laying Dem majority in this market, market hasn't read the rules regarding independents it seems.

Screenshot_2.jpg
Sorry didn’t see this. Good spot.
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gazuty
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Derek27 wrote:
Sun Nov 13, 2022 7:32 am
Verance posted about that a few posts further back, but since then the lay price for a Democrat majority has come down from 90 to 48. There's a free £11 if anyone wants it. :)
:oops:

Got in to 22 after Nevada result announced (while you were sleeping).
verance
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Been an incredible market to trade. The Number of Democrat seats too, 50 seats and 51 seats are both impossible but are trading around 40. That's a free 5% combined!

I wonder will Betfair settle this market now (maybe tomorrow) since No Majority is the only possible winner?
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Archangel
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Democrats retain control of Senate.
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Derek27
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Archangel wrote:
Sun Nov 13, 2022 11:17 am
Democrats retain control of Senate.
The election's been rigged/stolen! :D
Jukebox
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Archangel wrote:
Sun Nov 13, 2022 11:17 am
Democrats retain control of Senate.
Fake News - From China !!
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Naffman
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Kari Lake isn’t going to go easy is she
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Kai
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Can anyone please explain wtf is going on in this market?? Because I am at a loss :lol:
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Derek27
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Naffman wrote:
Mon Nov 14, 2022 10:18 am
Kari Lake isn’t going to go easy is she
So sad to hear such crap coming from the mouth of a beautiful woman.
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Naffman
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Derek27 wrote:
Mon Nov 14, 2022 12:06 pm
Naffman wrote:
Mon Nov 14, 2022 10:18 am
Kari Lake isn’t going to go easy is she
So sad to hear such crap coming from the mouth of a beautiful woman.
It’s clear she doesn’t believe it but the AZ GOP is one of the most radical in the country, she even had a pop at McCain didn’t she? Trump proved how unpopular that move was in 2020.
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Archangel
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Naffman wrote:
Mon Nov 14, 2022 10:18 am
Kari Lake isn’t going to go easy is she
I am sure she can go back to talking shite on Fox News if she doesn't win
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Archangel
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Kari didnt like or accept the result. Seems to be a theme with certain Rep. candidates ;)
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