Thanks, yeah so the only causal reason I can think of is the proximity of Cheltenham to those days. So i've just ran a backtest with a regex excluding Chelt and it comes back with the following for those days, practically identical, so unless Cheltenham was having a causal effect on the other markets, which is possible, i'll put it down to variance at the moment:ShaunWhite wrote: ↑Thu Apr 08, 2021 2:43 amGreat news on the out of sample testing.goat68 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 07, 2021 11:53 pmI do have doubts though mainly because most of the profits come from this string of 8 days
2021/03/10 : Wed : 5.23
2021/03/11 : Thr : 5.24
2021/03/12 : Fri : -0.34
2021/03/13 : Sat : 6.78
2021/03/14 : Sun : -1.28
2021/03/17 : Wed : 1.05
2021/03/18 : Thr : 5.97
2021/03/19 : Fri : 4.92
I wouldn't worry about things like that group of good days. Humans are programmed to look for patterns, and patterns occur in random data*, so unless you can think of a good reason why those days were different then it's just what it is.
Besides when you've got a large enough set of results the days will start to blur and you'll see that drawing a line through your results when the sun rises and sets is fairly arbitrary unless time of day matters to you.
* YouTube and Spotify 'random' playlists aren't random. When they were people complained it did things like played 4 tracks by the same artist in a row so they had use a pseudo-random that doesn't produce the patterns normal random makes. I haven't read this but I think a few people enjoyed it-> https://www.amazon.co.uk/Fooled-Randomn ... 0141031484
2021/03/10 : Wed : 5.23
2021/03/11 : Thr : 5.24
2021/03/12 : Fri : -0.34
2021/03/13 : Sat : 6.78
2021/03/14 : Sun : -1.28
2021/03/17 : Wed : 0.87
2021/03/18 : Thr : 5.74
2021/03/19 : Fri : 4.83