Trading What I see !?

Learn sports betting strategies and discuss key factors to consider when placing a bet.
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goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

My take on 17:50:
EDIT2.jpg
3rd long way above vwap, so drifting on low volume...?
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goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

Feel free to rubbish my commentary! just trying to figure things out.....?
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goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

Zzzzz
^ that means i'm going to sleep!
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ShaunWhite
Posts: 9731
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

goat68 wrote:
Thu Mar 04, 2021 10:41 pm
My take on 17:50:
EDIT2.jpg
You might want to scale that volume in relation to the price of the horse, an odds-on horse will take many times what a 6.0 horse will simply because punters have to bet bigger to get the same return or liability. As you know you need a grand down at 1.5 to win 500 but only £100 at 6.0 to win the same. And/or you could look at vol as a %age of the overall market vol.

The best thing to do though is just watch 00s of markets, most people clock up 000s before they start to see through the noise.

viewtopic.php?p=139203
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3221
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

goat68 wrote:
Thu Mar 04, 2021 7:18 pm
Really messed up...
betPnL.jpg
We all have those days, just gotta try and read the signs...

B&Q.png
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goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

wearthefoxhat wrote:
Fri Mar 05, 2021 8:31 am
goat68 wrote:
Thu Mar 04, 2021 7:18 pm
Really messed up...
betPnL.jpg
We all have those days, just gotta try and read the signs...


B&Q.png
+1 Thanks
Anbell
Posts: 2060
Joined: Fri Apr 05, 2019 2:31 am

wearthefoxhat wrote:
Fri Mar 05, 2021 8:31 am
goat68 wrote:
Thu Mar 04, 2021 7:18 pm
Really messed up...
betPnL.jpg
We all have those days, just gotta try and read the signs...


B&Q.png
Goat turns either left or right at every. single. intersection.
TLindeth
Posts: 16
Joined: Thu Mar 04, 2021 4:03 pm

ShaunWhite wrote:
Thu Mar 04, 2021 10:59 pm
goat68 wrote:
Thu Mar 04, 2021 10:41 pm
My take on 17:50:
EDIT2.jpg
You might want to scale that volume in relation to the price of the horse, an odds-on horse will take many times what a 6.0 horse will simply because punters have to bet bigger to get the same return or liability. As you know you need a grand down at 1.5 to win 500 but only £100 at 6.0 to win the same. And/or you could look at vol as a %age of the overall market vol.

The best thing to do though is just watch 00s of markets, most people clock up 000s before they start to see through the noise.

viewtopic.php?p=139203
This is key Goat!
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goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

TLindeth wrote:
Fri Mar 05, 2021 9:19 am
ShaunWhite wrote:
Thu Mar 04, 2021 10:59 pm
goat68 wrote:
Thu Mar 04, 2021 10:41 pm
My take on 17:50:
EDIT2.jpg
You might want to scale that volume in relation to the price of the horse, an odds-on horse will take many times what a 6.0 horse will simply because punters have to bet bigger to get the same return or liability. As you know you need a grand down at 1.5 to win 500 but only £100 at 6.0 to win the same. And/or you could look at vol as a %age of the overall market vol.

The best thing to do though is just watch 00s of markets, most people clock up 000s before they start to see through the noise.

viewtopic.php?p=139203
This is key Goat!
Thanks, yes just realized this... i'll update my charting this evening, cheers
JasBarrow
Posts: 138
Joined: Tue Sep 18, 2018 3:03 pm

goat68 wrote:
Thu Mar 04, 2021 9:54 pm
So i'm extended my data analysis program and analysing the charts for patterns, just added selection volume bars. One thing I do notice is the volume profile for various races is actually quite different! Take these 2 both Hcaps, but volume more bunched in one, distributed in the other...
Top graph=Net Backing activity measure
Middle=Prices with VWAP
Bot=Selection volumes
Chelm 17:20 today:
market_ChelmC 4th Mar - 17_20 1m Hcap.jpg
Chelm 17:50 today:
market_ChelmC 4th Mar - 17_50 6f Hcap.jpg

Hi Goat

Stupid question in advance I know but how to you gather then display that data?
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beermonsterman
Posts: 522
Joined: Sun Dec 25, 2016 2:47 pm
Location: Birmingham UK

Shaun nailed it sit on your hands until the pattern becomes visible then get involved screen time is probably the most helpful thing you can do for your self and believe me dont over complicate anything its really quite simple once you see it I'm lucky at the min to get 1 trade a day in but I will wait for them and when things pick up I could get 4 a day just how it goes
Automation gathering data for me sped up my progress as I cant be in front of the screen all the time
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goat68
Posts: 2019
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm
Location: Hampshire, UK

JasBarrow wrote:
Fri Mar 05, 2021 11:01 am
goat68 wrote:
Thu Mar 04, 2021 9:54 pm
So i'm extended my data analysis program and analysing the charts for patterns, just added selection volume bars. One thing I do notice is the volume profile for various races is actually quite different! Take these 2 both Hcaps, but volume more bunched in one, distributed in the other...
Top graph=Net Backing activity measure
Middle=Prices with VWAP
Bot=Selection volumes
Chelm 17:20 today:
market_ChelmC 4th Mar - 17_20 1m Hcap.jpg
Chelm 17:50 today:
market_ChelmC 4th Mar - 17_50 6f Hcap.jpg

Hi Goat

Stupid question in advance I know but how to you gather then display that data?
Hi, I have a "CollectData" Guardian automation BAF that collects every stat available to store in a Stored Value at an interval of 1second, then also every second use the "Export Stored Values to CSV" . So you end up for every market with a large CSV text file, mines about 4MB each for 30mins->Off collection.
I have then written my own Java based program that reads as input one of the CSVs and draws the above graphs...
JasBarrow
Posts: 138
Joined: Tue Sep 18, 2018 3:03 pm

goat68 wrote:
Fri Mar 05, 2021 12:37 pm
Hi, I have a "CollectData" Guardian automation BAF that collects every stat available to store in a Stored Value at an interval of 1second, then also every second use the "Export Stored Values to CSV" . So you end up for every market with a large CSV text file, mines about 4MB each for 30mins->Off collection.
I have then written my own Java based program that reads as input one of the CSVs and draws the above graphs...

Thats really cool! I thought you could only do that through excel.

Do you have to use a java program to draw the graphs or is there a way of doing it through excel for idiots like me?!
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Trader724
Posts: 562
Joined: Fri Dec 27, 2019 11:22 pm

JasBarrow wrote:
Fri Mar 05, 2021 1:31 pm
Do you have to use a java program to draw the graphs or is there a way of doing it through excel for idiots like me?!
If you know how to plot graphs in Excel you're good to go. Import the CSV file in Excel and play with it.
JasBarrow
Posts: 138
Joined: Tue Sep 18, 2018 3:03 pm

Ok thanks guys
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