So I didn't say I didn't expect this sort of thing... just expressing the "reality" and frustration when it happens... so here's some backtest detail for "dogsbot": 3 month backtest May->AugShaunWhite wrote: ↑Thu Sep 02, 2021 8:11 pm1. What happened to make those two days so different to your backtests!?
With the tech you've got there really shouldn't be any suprises unless you're taking shortcuts. I know some people have told you stages they think aren't useful but they have years of experience to draw on. I'm fairly experienced but I still don't shortcut the methodology because I dont' like suprises like suddenly losing a load of cash. Never gamble unless you have all the information you can get. How much data do you have now and how much have people recommended you need?
2. You may still be too focused on the small picture which is understandable. As some sort of guide, a chart from the real world.
My wierd Aug....didn't even breakeven until the 15th. Randomness is a curious bedfellow you just have to get used to.
Screenshot_19.jpg
Number of markets = 1526
Number of selections = 1682
Number of Backs = 675
Number of Lays = 1007
Back profit = 674.54
Lay profit = 595.98
Strike Rate = 58 %
Avg bet price = 3.53
Wins = 892
Losses = 634
Av Win = 6.52
Av Loss = -7.35
Biggest Win = 17.19
Biggest Loss = -17.34
Highest Hi = 1199.37
Lowest Lo = 0.00
Biggest Drawdown = -162.29
Longest win streak = 11
Longest lose streak = 6
Total profit = 1151.86
and here's the chart: