Trading What I see !?
- The Silk Run
- Posts: 917
- Joined: Mon May 14, 2018 12:53 am
- Location: United Kingdom
Your very welcome. A simple lead-up sample starting-point DB T1, T2, T4 & T5, or DB T1, T2 & T3 UK EIRE markets ONLY. No other variables, in, out, etc ...
So DB="double bend" ?The Silk Run wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 7:51 pmYour very welcome. A simple lead-up sample starting-point DB T1, T2, T4 & T5, or DB T1, T2 & T3 UK EIRE markets ONLY. No other variables, in, out, etc ...
T1.. Trap 1 ?
- The Silk Run
- Posts: 917
- Joined: Mon May 14, 2018 12:53 am
- Location: United Kingdom
Dutch BACK , and T1 Trap 1 Ggoat68 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 08, 2022 2:34 pmSo DB="double bend" ?The Silk Run wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 7:51 pmYour very welcome. A simple lead-up sample starting-point DB T1, T2, T4 & T5, or DB T1, T2 & T3 UK EIRE markets ONLY. No other variables, in, out, etc ...
T1.. Trap 1 ?
- The Silk Run
- Posts: 917
- Joined: Mon May 14, 2018 12:53 am
- Location: United Kingdom
Thanks SilkRun, feeling confident
Today ended a good one
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- ShaunWhite
- Posts: 9731
- Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am
You've held people's attention for quite a while.
I was just having a look back at this time last year (page 133 ish), you'd probably find it interesting to re-read the whole year knowing what you know now.
Yes, i've just re-read some pages, gosh I do appear clueless looking back on it knowing what I know now !ShaunWhite wrote: ↑Wed Jan 12, 2022 3:48 amYou've held people's attention for quite a while.
I was just having a look back at this time last year (page 133 ish), you'd probably find it interesting to re-read the whole year knowing what you know now.
Indeed, a ways to go still. The learning never stops really since the markets evolve over time, but I would say that obtaining a bit of knowledge is the easier part compared to actually utilizing it.
Keep learning Goaty
I've being doing some data analysis and backtesting on UK horses pre-race, using good old horse and jockey form, and modelling of sorts. It's a lot more difficult than dogs...! But unsurprisingly whatever I try based on previous horse & jockey form, ends up breakeven at best, even with the best execution I can find.
I'm not surprised really, it's the obvious thing to do, and the obvious things are never profitable. My dog bot uses a rather different angle on things, and hence why I hope it has legs... Takes 100s of iterations and thoughts to find something others might not have, which is what this game is all about. Pre-race UK horses everyone is at, and have thought of everything, so finding that unique difference that not many other have is going to be VERY VERY HARD!
Hence, everyone is jumping in-play nowadays, as pre-race is too hard, but then that will become the same, and eventually the markets will become a straight line
I'm not surprised really, it's the obvious thing to do, and the obvious things are never profitable. My dog bot uses a rather different angle on things, and hence why I hope it has legs... Takes 100s of iterations and thoughts to find something others might not have, which is what this game is all about. Pre-race UK horses everyone is at, and have thought of everything, so finding that unique difference that not many other have is going to be VERY VERY HARD!
Hence, everyone is jumping in-play nowadays, as pre-race is too hard, but then that will become the same, and eventually the markets will become a straight line
- ShaunWhite
- Posts: 9731
- Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am
Don't get hung up on finding something unique. There's plenty to be had just doing the same as lots of other people because there's always enough disagreement and varying objectives in the ecosystems. The day you see markets that are absolutely static for hours is the day this game dies and that's never going to happen. So long as markets move there's money to be had.goat68 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 19, 2022 10:21 pmI've being doing some data analysis and backtesting on UK horses pre-race, using good old horse and jockey form, and modelling of sorts. It's a lot more difficult than dogs...! But unsurprisingly whatever I try based on previous horse & jockey form, ends up breakeven at best, even with the best execution I can find.
I'm not surprised really, it's the obvious thing to do, and the obvious things are never profitable. My dog bot uses a rather different angle on things, and hence why I hope it has legs... Takes 100s of iterations and thoughts to find something others might not have, which is what this game is all about. Pre-race UK horses everyone is at, and have thought of everything, so finding that unique difference that not many other have is going to be VERY VERY HARD!
Hence, everyone is jumping in-play nowadays, as pre-race is too hard, but then that will become the same, and eventually the markets will become a straight line
Just because you can't find much doesn't mean it's not there. Maybe you're still missing something, maybe you're still doing something wrong or underestimating certain subtleties? That's hard to gauge when there's nobody actually seeing what we're doing. Sadly the bottom line is that if we fail we've got nobody or nothing to blame but ourselves and that's actually the hardest part.