Track Over1.5 Goals Price to Trigger Lays on Over2.5 Market Guardian Automation Bot

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Dallas
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These are basic Guardian automation files for use on Football markets.

The purpose of these automation files is to track the odds in the O/U 1.5 market and trigger bets in the O/U 2.5 market in anticipation of a goal being scored. It uses the new ‘Stored Value’ feature added in Bet Angel V1.50, which allows values stored from one market to be shared with another market from the same event.

What it Looks for

After a goal is scored the next O/U market will reform around the price the previous one was trading at before the goal, so for example if Over 1.5 was currently trading @ 1.43 and Over 2.5 was currently trading @ 2.2 and a goal is scored the Over 2.5 market will reform at around 1.43. So, having you lay bet in at or around this price already gives you a good chance at being one of the first matched after a goal.


How it Works

There is two automation files required for this strategy which can both be downloaded at the bottom of this post, you need to add all the O1.5 and O2.5 markets for each fixture you wish to run the strategy on.
Once these are added to Guardian apply the file 'SV from O1.5' to all O/U1.5 markets and apply the file 'Lay O2.5 using SV from O1.5 Mkt' to all O/U2.5 markets

Every 30 secs the automation file ‘SV from O1.5’ on the O/U1.5 market checks the current back price of Over 1.5 goals adds 5 ticks then records these odds as a ‘Stored Value’, the automation file ‘Lay O2.5 using SV from O1.5 Mkt’ then places a lay bet in the O2.5 market at these odds for £10, if it’s not matched within 50 secs it is cancelled and the rule will re-trigger 10 seconds later placing another £10 lay bet at the latest stored value from the O1.5 market. It will keep repeating this throughout the game until a goal is scored.

After a goal is scored your lay bet should be ready and waiting for the market to reform just a few ticks above the price the previous Over 1.5 market was trading at. If it is matched, then no further bets will be placed (you could if you wish to add some offsetting to the lay bet if your strategy is to just try and get matched quickly after a goal and pinch a few quick ticks etc).


Added Safety

The Lay O2.5 using SV from O1.5 Mkt also has some safety features built in, it uses a matched and unmatched bets condition to ensure both are 0 before it triggers when it does trigger it also sets a signal which I’ve named ‘time’.

If the bet is not matched 55 seconds after this signal name is set a ‘cancel unmatched bets’ rule will trigger, it will also clear the signal named ‘time’ (so it can be set again when another lay bet triggers again in a few seconds).

As a backup should the market be temporally suspended when this cancel unmatched bets rule should trigger to avoid the bet being left in the market permanently a second ‘cancel unmatched bets’ rule will trigger after 155secs, again this also will clear the signal named ‘time’ so the lay bet can trigger again.

To use these files just click on the following two links below ’SV From O1.5.Baf’ and ‘Lay O2.5 using SV from O1.5 Mkt.Baf’ and this will download them to your computer, then with guardian open on the "Automation" tab click "Import a Rules File" as shown in the image, once imported it will now appear in the drop-down box just above, you can now apply them to any markets you have added into guardian.

Once you have it imported into your Guardian the stake size along with any other aspects of this file can be edited very easily by clicking on "Edit Rules File".

With any automation bot always run in practice mode first to ensure everything is working fine, and repeat this each time you make any changes.
To see a video tutorial on how to download and import an automation file into your Bet Angel please see this link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7Im4pj683g
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Simonlofc
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Joined: Tue Sep 30, 2014 11:07 am

This looks good I shall give this a go many thanks
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jimibt
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dallas - what a fantastic piece of analysis on the safety aspects here...as ever, stellar work
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Bunchie3174
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Just checking on implementation.
You'd open both UO1.5 and UO2.5 markets in a particular match.
The SV rule would sit in the UO1.5 market and relay the information to the rule in the UO2.5 market.
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Dallas
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Bunchie3174 wrote:
Wed Apr 25, 2018 7:33 pm
Just checking on implementation.
You'd open both UO1.5 and UO2.5 markets in a particular match.
The SV rule would sit in the UO1.5 market and relay the information to the rule in the UO2.5 market.
Yes that is correct
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cmuddle
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sorry don't understand,

why would you lay the O 2.5 market if after a goal it will shorten

do you mean to lay the U 2.5 market maybe?
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Dallas
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cmuddle wrote:
Wed Apr 25, 2018 11:52 pm
sorry don't understand,

why would you lay the O 2.5 market if after a goal it will shorten

do you mean to lay the U 2.5 market maybe?
The rule aims to lay O2.5 around the shortest price as the market reforms after a goal, before the odds begin to drift out again.
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megarain
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This looks v interesting.

For super dummies like me, what is the actual process of loading a certain game ?

Say we have Arsenal v Liverpool .. do we load the match odds mkt into guardian or the over under 1.5 or 2.5 ?

How do u get 2 baf files to work on one mkt ? The automation rules tab, only seems to let me enter 1 baf.

Thx
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Dallas
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megarain wrote:
Thu Apr 26, 2018 9:23 am
This looks v interesting.

For super dummies like me, what is the actual process of loading a certain game ?

Say we have Arsenal v Liverpool .. do we load the match odds mkt into guardian or the over under 1.5 or 2.5 ?

How do u get 2 baf files to work on one mkt ? The automation rules tab, only seems to let me enter 1 baf.

Thx
You just need the O1.5 and O2.5 markets (for each fixture)

Then apply the file 'SV from O1.5' to all O/U1.5 markets
and apply the file 'Lay O2.5 using SV from O1.5 Mkt' to all O/U2.5 markets

There is a step-by-step detailed example on how shared values between two markets within the same event work here
viewtopic.php?f=43&t=16230
hiremanuk
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Joined: Thu Apr 26, 2018 7:17 pm

i just paid and downloaded and it installed an out dated 1:49 version? so can not use this
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Dallas
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hiremanuk wrote:
Fri Apr 27, 2018 5:56 pm
i just paid and downloaded and it installed an out dated 1:49 version? so can not use this
You can install V1.50 from this link
viewtopic.php?f=46&t=16227
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cmuddle
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Good Stuff!

with some adjusting this can be used to back a goal when the opposite team gets a red card

because it connects two different markets
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jimibt
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cmuddle wrote:
Sat Apr 28, 2018 12:18 pm
Good Stuff!

with some adjusting this can be used to back a goal when the opposite team gets a red card

because it connects two different markets
yes, you could tie the match odds and correct score markets to look at edge cases where the CS active score line doesn't change but the MO price on either the home or away team rockets after a game suspension... i'd be more inclined in this scenario to back the team whose odds in MO shot up, in anticipation of it easing back down once the furore dies away.

[edit] - the only downside with this edge case is the rarity of it occurring, meaning that you'd have to put on almost every game in the hope of landing a candidate...
captainbang
Posts: 82
Joined: Tue May 01, 2018 1:33 pm

How do i set up the below as mentioned in the original post does anybody know?

"(you could if you wish to add some offsetting to the lay bet if your strategy is to just try and get matched quickly after a goal and pinch a few quick ticks etc)."
captainbang
Posts: 82
Joined: Tue May 01, 2018 1:33 pm

I have tried this tonight in the river plate match and after a goal went in pretty early in the 1st half nothing happened for about 2 mins after the market went back inplay. After the 2 min wait time a lay bet was put in at 1.15 but the price on over 2.5 was 1.49 so it never matched and got cancelled.

I thought straight after a goal is scored it is meant to lay over 2.5 for around the same price as the over 1.5 market?

logs below

11/05/2018 20:48:17: Guardian has detected that the market is in-play
11/05/2018 20:48:17: Guardian has detected that the market is suspended
11/05/2018 20:48:18: Guardian has detected that the market is now unsuspended
11/05/2018 20:50:19: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time = 1
11/05/2018 20:50:24: Guardian has detected that the market is suspended
11/05/2018 20:50:39: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
11/05/2018 20:51:52: Guardian has detected that the market is now unsuspended
11/05/2018 20:52:54: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time - Cleared
11/05/2018 20:52:55: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time = 1
11/05/2018 20:53:23: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
11/05/2018 20:53:51: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time - Cleared
11/05/2018 20:53:51: [G_Auto] : Cancelling bets 125236378678
11/05/2018 20:53:56: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time = 1
11/05/2018 20:54:23: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
11/05/2018 20:54:51: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time - Cleared
11/05/2018 20:54:51: [G_Auto] : Cancelling bets 125236528940
11/05/2018 20:54:56: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time = 1
11/05/2018 20:55:23: [G_Auto] : APING Exception: TIMEOUT, ,
11/05/2018 20:55:51: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time - Cleared
11/05/2018 20:55:51: [G_Auto] : Cancelling bets 125236657048
11/05/2018 20:55:56: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time = 1
11/05/2018 20:56:08: [G_Auto] : € 2.00 Lay bet placed on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.43. Entirely unmatched when it initially reached the market. Ref: 125236782858
11/05/2018 20:56:51: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time - Cleared
11/05/2018 20:56:51: [G_Auto] : Cancelling bets 125236782858
11/05/2018 20:56:56: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time = 1
11/05/2018 20:57:08: [G_Auto] : € 2.00 Lay bet placed on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.45. Entirely unmatched when it initially reached the market. Ref: 125236920224
11/05/2018 20:57:51: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time - Cleared
11/05/2018 20:57:51: [G_Auto] : Cancelling bets 125236920224
11/05/2018 20:57:56: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time = 1
11/05/2018 20:58:08: [G_Auto] : € 2.00 Lay bet placed on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.45. Entirely unmatched when it initially reached the market. Ref: 125237065093
11/05/2018 20:58:49: Guardian has detected that the market is suspended
11/05/2018 20:59:01: Guardian has detected that the market is now unsuspended
11/05/2018 21:00:31: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time - Cleared
11/05/2018 21:00:31: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time = 1
11/05/2018 21:00:32: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: stop = 1
11/05/2018 21:00:44: [G_Auto] : € 2.00 Lay bet placed on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.15. Entirely unmatched when it initially reached the market. Ref: 125237399505
11/05/2018 21:01:26: [G_Auto] : Automation Signal for Over 2.5 Goals: time - Cleared
11/05/2018 21:01:27: [G_Auto] : Cancelling bets 125237399505
11/05/2018 21:05:05: Guardian has detected that the market is suspended
11/05/2018 21:05:08: Guardian has detected that the market is now unsuspended


11/05/2018 20:48:17: Guardian has detected that the market is in-play
11/05/2018 20:48:17: Guardian has detected that the market is suspended
11/05/2018 20:48:17: Guardian has detected that the market is now unsuspended
11/05/2018 20:49:23: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.42 + 5 ticks = 1.47
11/05/2018 20:49:53: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.43 + 5 ticks = 1.48
11/05/2018 20:50:23: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.43 + 5 ticks = 1.48
11/05/2018 20:50:24: Guardian has detected that the market is suspended
11/05/2018 20:51:52: Guardian has detected that the market is now unsuspended
11/05/2018 20:52:58: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.38 + 5 ticks = 1.43
11/05/2018 20:53:28: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.39 + 5 ticks = 1.44
11/05/2018 20:53:59: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.38 + 5 ticks = 1.43
11/05/2018 20:54:30: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.38 + 5 ticks = 1.43
11/05/2018 20:55:00: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.38 + 5 ticks = 1.43
11/05/2018 20:55:30: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.38 + 5 ticks = 1.43
11/05/2018 20:56:01: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.4 + 5 ticks = 1.45
11/05/2018 20:56:31: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.4 + 5 ticks = 1.45
11/05/2018 20:57:01: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.4 + 5 ticks = 1.45
11/05/2018 20:57:32: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.4 + 5 ticks = 1.45
11/05/2018 20:58:03: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.41 + 5 ticks = 1.46
11/05/2018 20:58:33: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.41 + 5 ticks = 1.46
11/05/2018 20:58:51: Guardian has detected that the market is suspended
11/05/2018 20:59:02: Guardian has detected that the market is now unsuspended
11/05/2018 21:00:09: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.1 + 5 ticks = 1.15
11/05/2018 21:00:40: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.09 + 5 ticks = 1.14
11/05/2018 21:01:11: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.09 + 5 ticks = 1.14
11/05/2018 21:01:41: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.1 + 5 ticks = 1.15
11/05/2018 21:02:12: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.09 + 5 ticks = 1.14
11/05/2018 21:02:42: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.09 + 5 ticks = 1.14
11/05/2018 21:03:12: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.1 + 5 ticks = 1.15
11/05/2018 21:03:42: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.1 + 5 ticks = 1.15
11/05/2018 21:04:13: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.1 + 5 ticks = 1.15
11/05/2018 21:04:43: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.1 + 5 ticks = 1.15
11/05/2018 21:05:06: Guardian has detected that the market is suspended
11/05/2018 21:05:09: Guardian has detected that the market is now unsuspended
11/05/2018 21:06:16: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.09 + 5 ticks = 1.14
11/05/2018 21:06:46: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.1 + 5 ticks = 1.15
11/05/2018 21:07:16: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.1 + 5 ticks = 1.15
11/05/2018 21:07:47: [G_Auto] : Store Value: odds = 1.1 + 5 ticks = 1.15
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