Back the Likely Winner Automation Bot for Horse Racing

[marcknight64]

Thank you Dallas, much appreciated.

[Fugazi]

"back the likely winner"

Said with not a pinch of satire/irony

[ForFolksSake]

"back the likely winner"

Said with not a pinch of satire/irony

Come on het it off your chest, what would you like to say about 'back the likely winner'

[Fugazi]

"back the likely winner"

Said with not a pinch of satire/irony

Come on het it off your chest, what would you like to say about 'back the likely winner'

I've been trying to back the likely winner long before BA

[ShaunWhite]

To be fair "likely" winner is the name of the game, the missing element is "likelihood"

[lubrivor]

Hi Dallas, I'll start by saying that I haven't read the over 300 posts on this Bot, so it's possible that someone has asked the same question as me. I had tried about twenty times to lower the Back odds to 1.05 - 1.06 (100 pounds stake and no lay on 2, 3, 4, 5, etc. favorite horse) in practice mode, with only the final "all green condition", in which I accepted a fixed condition of loss > -2 pounds, in case the odds were to rise. Surely 20 plays are few, but these are the results: 8 times the rule was not activated, 12 times the rule was activated with final green and among these only 2 times I lost 5 pounds, while in the others I obtained a profit deducted from the cashout. In the end the final result was profitable. Is it just a coincidence? Probably yes. I wanted to ask you, what would you do to strengthen the security of the coverage relating to this Bot with such low and volatile odds? Thanks for any response.

[Dallas]

Hi Dallas, I'll start by saying that I haven't read the over 300 posts on this Bot, so it's possible that someone has asked the same question as me. I had tried about twenty times to lower the Back odds to 1.05 - 1.06 (100 pounds stake and no lay on 2, 3, 4, 5, etc. favorite horse) in practice mode, with only the final "all green condition", in which I accepted a fixed condition of loss > -2 pounds, in case the odds were to rise. Surely 20 plays are few, but these are the results: 8 times the rule was not activated, 12 times the rule was activated with final green and among these only 2 times I lost 5 pounds, while in the others I obtained a profit deducted from the cashout. In the end the final result was profitable. Is it just a coincidence? Probably yes. I wanted to ask you, what would you do to strengthen the security of the coverage relating to this Bot with such low and volatile odds? Thanks for any response.

The shorter the odds you try and back at the harder it is to get matched, you'll manage it 100% of the time if the horse goes onto lose, but never if it goes on to win.
Trying to use a stop at these odds and at this stage of the race you'll also find it hard to get matched

By the time Betfair apply the 1 second in-play delay the horse will often be at 1.01 and won, or 1000 and have been beaten leaving either your opening bet or stop bet unmatched

[ShaunWhite]

I accepted a fixed condition of loss > -2 pounds, .

Probably a typo but I guess you mean a loss condition of pl <-2 ?

[lubrivor]

Thanks Dallas

[lubrivor]

yes, Shaunwhite I meant pl < -2