Lower odds move slower, meaning longer exposure times, while the preoff market is more speculative and behaves very differently as there is no time decay yet.MobiusGrey wrote: ↑Wed Jan 19, 2022 9:14 amTried this last night on the Chelsea game and went relatively smoothly. I think I need to find the right time to create the free bet part though, I feel like I did this too early in the match when the odds on unders was higher, therefore if a goal goes in the odds would increase dramatically incurring a bigger loss. I think possibly the key is creating the free bet part either pre-kickoff or when the odds are a lot lower, therefore 1 goal goes in when you're exposed it's not as risky. I suppose this then links into what to do at this point, close for a loss is my feeling at the moment but will take a little bit of working out with forward testing.
Always have to ask yourself where would the edge come from, it's probably the most overlooked question in trading. Would this trading concept of flipping profit be profitable on its own, or would the edge come from his ladder ability in creating the free bets in the first place, or is he finding big value when laying appropriate matches at the appropriate time etc.