Premier League Relegation

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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verance
Posts: 87
Joined: Wed Nov 11, 2020 10:59 am

LeTiss wrote:
Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:31 am
I'm back onto one of my favourite markets

I am drawn to the price of Brighton....BIG TIME
Burnley and Newcastle are shorter prices, despite having more points than them. You could hardly say Brighton are just having a dodgy spell - this is what they are, bottom 6 relegation fighters. They have won 2 from 17, only West Brom and Sheff Utd have won fewer

They are massively overpriced at 4.5
Brighton are the biggest outliers based on xG models this season - based on xG, they've been the 6th best team this season!

I'm not sure how much stock to put in those models but might help explain the price.

xG.jpg
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