Poisson distribution calculator

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Malanno0
Posts: 20
Joined: Sun Jan 02, 2022 1:50 pm

Hi, I tried two different poisson calculator with two different results on distribution. Is it a bug or the calculation it's not the same for every model of calculator? Do you have some to try, I wanna try to do an average of the results
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Derek27
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Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

Malanno0 wrote:
Thu Jan 06, 2022 6:58 pm
Hi, I tried two different poisson calculator with two different results on distribution. Is it a bug or the calculation it's not the same for every model of calculator? Do you have some to try, I wanna try to do an average of the results
Unless you post the two calculators you've used it's difficult to answer. Poisson distribution calculates the probability of goals based on goal expectancy. There may be variations on calculating goal expectancy but the PD algorithm will be the same.
Malanno0
Posts: 20
Joined: Sun Jan 02, 2022 1:50 pm

I used these two and they give different results

https://sinceawin.com/data/tools/poisson
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Derek27
Posts: 23636
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am
Location: UK

Malanno0 wrote:
Sat Jan 08, 2022 5:17 pm
I used these two and they give different results

https://sinceawin.com/data/tools/poisson
I've just tested them on 1.8 for home and 1.4 for away and got similar results. They may be slightly out as they usually calculate correct score probabilities and ignore very high scores.
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