Laying the draw at evens or less

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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ija34
Posts: 92
Joined: Mon Jun 27, 2022 7:51 pm

Hey all,

Has anyone tested a system of laying the draw on most or all football matches at evens or less? Theoretically, you would only need 50% strike rate or less and there are a lot of football matches that have late goals. Any one think this would be worth testing or would you not be likely to hit that strike rate? Also, is there any where you find data of previous matches and what the odds were at certain points in the game? Cheers.
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ShaunWhite
Posts: 9731
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

It wouldn't need to be evens and 50%. Any price where the outcome didn't agree with the odds is fine eg 3.0 and 33% or 1.5 and 66% is equally good. That's what value betting is.

You won't find that works across every game, but with the right match selection it can.

As for data, the frequency you want can be found here for free.https://historicdata.betfair.com/#/home There's also free Pro level world Cup data for a limited period.
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