Look at tonights match Leeds vs Grimsby
1.28 Leeds win
6.60 Draw
13.50 Grimsby
My models suggest: -
1.18 Leeds win
8.37 Draw
28.33 Grimsby
I don't know if Leeds are fielding a weakened team but there is quite a gap between the odds and the forecast. Over the course of a year I'd expect the model to be about 0.10% out. Other matches that I have on file that have exactly the same set up : -
01/09/2007 Liverpool Derby 6-0
10/05/2008 Chelsea Bolton 1-1
06/09/2008 Spain Bosnia 1-0
10/10/2008 Wales Liechtenstn 2-0
09/12/2008 Chelsea CFR Cluj 2-1
17/09/2009 Benfica BATE 2-0
Most went off at 1.16-1.18
Leeds value this evening
Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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