How Do You Manage Trades in Tennis Markets?

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globi166
Posts: 115
Joined: Fri Mar 02, 2018 10:24 am

Hi everyone,

I’m curious how different traders approach tennis matches, especially in-play.

For those of you who actively trade tennis—do you typically trade in and out throughout the match and then hedge everything at the end? Or do you hedge after each trade, regardless of whether it was successful or not?

For example, let’s say you’re trading with the intention of catching a break of serve. If you get the break, do you green immediately and take profit, or just remove liability? And if the break doesn’t come, do you green the loss straight away or just trade out?

Basically, I’m trying to understand whether most people treat each position as a self-contained trade, with its own exit (win or loss), or whether they run a series of open trades and look to green at the end?

Would love to hear how you manage this.
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Dallas
Posts: 23474
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

I trade around the break points so treat each one on an individually basis and therefore usually green up after each one.
Might open a trade early in set 1 and not get any further opportunity that match
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ODPaul82
Posts: 785
Joined: Sun May 08, 2011 6:32 am

Operate differently on ATP & WTA.
ATP I'm opposing player on their serve if their ahead in that service game and my research indicated they're serve isn't best. No break I take the red at end of service game.
WTA I'm opposing player when they're a break ahead and also ahead in their service game. No break back that service game I take the red.

If I do get the break it depends on my stats as to whether I hedge immediately or let it run to see if can get hold then another break
I remove small amounts of liability when things have gone in my favour during game as well ie laid @ 40-15 and score now @ 40-40, or 40-Adv

Have a lot more criteria then this (prices/set/stats/liquidity/etc) but that's the nuts & bolts.
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globi166
Posts: 115
Joined: Fri Mar 02, 2018 10:24 am

ODPaul82 wrote:
Mon Jun 02, 2025 5:46 am
Operate differently on ATP & WTA.
ATP I'm opposing player on their serve if their ahead in that service game and my research indicated they're serve isn't best. No break I take the red at end of service game.
WTA I'm opposing player when they're a break ahead and also ahead in their service game. No break back that service game I take the red.

If I do get the break it depends on my stats as to whether I hedge immediately or let it run to see if can get hold then another break
I remove small amounts of liability when things have gone in my favour during game as well ie laid @ 40-15 and score now @ 40-40, or 40-Adv

Have a lot more criteria then this (prices/set/stats/liquidity/etc) but that's the nuts & bolts.
My approach is quite similar, though I don’t differentiate between ATP and WTA matches. If I lay the favourite aiming for a break and it happens, I take it and green. If there's no break, I exit the trade without green and wait for the next opportunity to re-enter.

I focus on strong risk/reward entry points using the Tennis Trader tool, combined with in-play stats and data from https://tennisprofits.com/, which I find incredibly useful for aid in decision-making.
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