Agree, have both a back the field and lay Djoko position at the moment.gazuty wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 8:14 amJust for trading info - Djokovic can either return to detention pending legal appeal or leave Australia.
At present it does not appear he can stay out of detention pending appeal. He has been asked to present himself to immigration for an interview on Saturday morning. He is not yet in detention and the comments on that detention pending legal appeal is my opinion (and understanding of the law).
I really don’t think he should constitute 30% of the market. That’s just my opinion. So I’ve backed the field without the Djoker within my risk tolerances.
The other bet that some are looking at is lay the Djoker.
If he doesn’t take to the court for round 1 the lay is void.
If he does take to the court the lay stands. He then has to win 7 matches off a dodgy preparation.
You have to pay 115% to back the field now though, probably still worth it. You can of course skip some of the 1000 oddsers.
The Djoko trade value is depending on the likelyhood of him having to leave after the tournament has started. With all this mess, including lawyers anything is possible. If he was guaranteed to finish the tournament if starting I would rather back at 3.5 than lay. Don't think preparations matter too much, as he will get in shape during the first few rounds.