Rafael Nadal vs Roger Federer today

[gutuami]

does odds for Rafa seems a bit low for anybody. 1.16 is a 86% chance. Head-to-head record reads 15-8 in favour of Rafa.

[LeTiss]

Yeah totally agree, I'm looking to lay Nadal

Rafa isn't so keen on Madrid due to the altitude, in fact Federer has beaten him on clay there

I need to get it all done pre-match though, as I'm going to watch a world class football match!

Southampton vs Walsall

[Euler]

I guess the market is discounting Nadal's superiority on clay. But it does seem quite short.

Well done on getting a ticket Le Tiss, should be a great day!

[gutuami]

if we take into account all matches on clay the market might be right. But I think Federer still keeps the taste of winning in his mind from 2009
2010 ATP Madrid Nadal 6-4, 7-6(5)
2009 ATP Madrid Federer 6-4, 6-4

[gutuami]

Federer's interview
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dSMlARsAj7g

[rasmor]

I wouldn't be too confident about Federer today. He seemed a little off his game this week especially against Lopez.

[Euler]

Federer broken in first service game, Nadal down to 1.08

[Euler]

A nice trade in the end!

110507 - Nadal vs Federer.png

[gutuami]

I backed Federer at 7.2 now its 2.6