Pre Kick Off Betting Challenge 2022

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Kai
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Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:34 pm
How anyone manages to monitor multi-nation domestic football on a Saturday afternoon and post all their thoughts is beyond me. :)
Multitasking, I'd say look it up but you do it all the time ;) It's the art of doing twice as much as you should half as well as you could.

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jamesg46
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The probability wrong by 18% from SP and your fair price on the City game seems a little off, especially for a PL game. What’s the method for calculating your fair price.
On_The_Edge
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Laid Hoffenheim at 1.48 odds after they took the lead for 2% liability.

Felt that Leipzig at 1.61 against Stuttgart was good value , but didn’t have a chance to get in the market. Leipzig scored too early.
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Derek27
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Kai wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:46 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:34 pm
How anyone manages to monitor multi-nation domestic football on a Saturday afternoon and post all their thoughts is beyond me. :)
Multitasking, I'd say look it up but you do it all the time ;) It's the art of doing twice as much as you should half as well as you could.

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I see what you mean, like drinking and gambling. At least you always get the drinking right. :D
jamesg46
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On_The_Edge wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:53 pm
Laid Hoffenheim at 1.48 odds after they took the lead for 2% liability.

Felt that Leipzig at 1.61 against Stuttgart was good value , but didn’t have a chance to get in the market. Leipzig scored too early.
I thought this was a pre kick off challenge?.
On_The_Edge
Posts: 146
Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2022 1:09 am

jamesg46 wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:56 pm
On_The_Edge wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:53 pm
Laid Hoffenheim at 1.48 odds after they took the lead for 2% liability.

Felt that Leipzig at 1.61 against Stuttgart was good value , but didn’t have a chance to get in the market. Leipzig scored too early.
I thought this was a pre kick off challenge?.
Title isn’t very accurate, it’s both pre kick off and in play too

I form opinion about the odds before start of match and often take a position... then maybe adjust it in play, or make new positions as I feel.
Last edited by On_The_Edge on Sat Jan 15, 2022 3:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
jamesg46
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Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

On_The_Edge wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 3:01 pm
jamesg46 wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:56 pm
On_The_Edge wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:53 pm
Laid Hoffenheim at 1.48 odds after they took the lead for 2% liability.

Felt that Leipzig at 1.61 against Stuttgart was good value , but didn’t have a chance to get in the market. Leipzig scored too early.
I thought this was a pre kick off challenge?.
Title isn’t very accurate, it’s both pre kick off and in play too

I form opinion about the odds before start of match and often take a position
Fair enough.
On_The_Edge
Posts: 146
Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2022 1:09 am

Ok I remove my liability at Union . Too dangerous attacks by Hoffenheim.
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Euler
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The interesting thing about all these challenges that is I've priced footy markets pretty much from the day I arrived on exchanges. So I'm nearly always on the other side of these types of challenges. Amazingly I'm still solvent somehow. ;)
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Kai
Posts: 6175
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:55 pm
Kai wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:46 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:34 pm
How anyone manages to monitor multi-nation domestic football on a Saturday afternoon and post all their thoughts is beyond me. :)
Multitasking, I'd say look it up but you do it all the time ;) It's the art of doing twice as much as you should half as well as you could.
I see what you mean, like drinking and gambling. At least you always get the drinking right. :D
Although sometimes it can be tricky to tell whether you're good at multitasking or just bad at concentrating :lol:
On_The_Edge
Posts: 146
Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2022 1:09 am

Pre kick off Wolfsburg were around 2.0 against Hertha. Now they are 2.2. I think they are reasonably likely to win, but the odds are a bit low in my opinion. Not too low, just not value to back them yet.

Sadly I don’t have live stream for Norwich match , and nor do I know any of the players involved, but tempted to lay them at 1.33 against Everton for 1.5% liabaility.
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Derek27
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Location: UK

jamesg46 wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:56 pm
On_The_Edge wrote:
Sat Jan 15, 2022 2:53 pm
Laid Hoffenheim at 1.48 odds after they took the lead for 2% liability.

Felt that Leipzig at 1.61 against Stuttgart was good value , but didn’t have a chance to get in the market. Leipzig scored too early.
I thought this was a pre kick off challenge?.
Apparently, it's a post-final whistle betting challenge. ;)
On_The_Edge
Posts: 146
Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2022 1:09 am

I’m laying Boavista at 1.95 for 1% liability
On_The_Edge
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Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2022 1:09 am

I took over 2.5 goals at Leipzig at 3.7.
On_The_Edge
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Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2022 1:09 am

Over and over and over again. As predicted. Union Berlin go behind, then get back into the match. 2-1 to Union now. The same thing happened last week against Leverkusen, when Leverkusen were 1.6 pre kick off favourites.
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