Is little Acorns genuine or a blag!?

[LeTiss]

Incremental staking plans are just another form of chasing losses

Whatever your system.....you still need DISCIPLINE
Discipline is everything in this game.

A lack of discipline in trading is like giving Viagra to a Eunuch.....hopeless

[ShaunWhite]

. There no reason why L2B trades can't work in some form if a bot is crunched together using some of Dallas's shared automation bots.

Not trying to convince anyone, just a POV.

* other ways to automate are available

I agree with your comment that L2B in general is possible using something meaningful like money supply and demand, but imo the initial selection process and trick staking of the Acorns strategy is pretty meaningless.

It's interesting though that low liability(*) and rapid recovery through staking are the appeal. The two most irrelevant and misleading things a strategy could offer but oh so appealing to the uninitiated who are trying to buy a profit.

(*) Just because something is a long price it doesn't mean higher liability, because you can stake by liability..... unless you're locked into some pointless staking plan.

[Dallas]

Incremental staking plans are just another form of chasing losses

Whatever your system.....you still need DISCIPLINE
Discipline is everything in this game.

A lack of discipline in trading is like giving Viagra to a Eunuch.....hopeless

I'll be the first to admit I had to look up what 'Eunuch' meant

[jimibt]

Incremental staking plans are just another form of chasing losses

Whatever your system.....you still need DISCIPLINE
Discipline is everything in this game.

A lack of discipline in trading is like giving Viagra to a Eunuch.....hopeless

I'll be the first to admit I had to look up what 'Eunuch' meant

yeah, not something we do much these days, not since the Egyptian empire dwindled. that said, do a quick bit of research on a type of operatic voice type called castrato!!

[Atho55]

Trying to drag this thread back on topic.... It looks like the original criteria does not work but the alternate numbers look a bit better, just.

On that basis running the alternates as yearly, then in 6 month blocks yearly looks like this

LA Yearly.jpg

Just out of curiosity created a Back version of my setup and generated some odds using the same principle and wondered if you want to test them Britguy? Dutching essentially.

[firlandsfarm]

Anyone who doesn't know; you basically lay odds-on favs where the 2nd fav is <=6.0 and 3rd fav <=10.0, and the only criteria to check is that the 1st fav is not a BF. Reading up on how often BF win the next race I read it was around 19% of the time, thats my first red flag!

I looked at this some years ago and put the criteria across my database using BSP as odds. It didn't work and I put this to the author who retorted that you can't use BSP, you have to use live prices! I asked why not BSP but didn't get a satisfactory answer.

[Dr Ginhog]

There are many greater minds than mine on this Forum and most of them seem to gathered here However heres by halfpennyworth on Martingale in General. I agree that Martingale in its original Form does not work-The coin flip or red-black roulette 50-50 version has no chance as a losing sequence is inevitable.
IMO for any variation to work it has to have the following elements. The underlying BAF has to have
(1) A high incidence of winning to Loss
(2) A relatively high win/loss value-amount Ratio
Also you cannot allow the losses to roll up indefinitely without either a sequential cap or a value cap. I have seen myself with the BAF I tested having a 12 loss sequence on the AUS market.Not even Musks bank would sustain that.
IMO you then have to determine by testing for EVERY BAf used if the capped off losses are greater than your cumulative wins. IMO Its that simple. IMO (2) is the most important factor. We all can back a great number at 1.01 and get the high incidence .
Another vital factor is whether you can get on when the stakes roll up. I would think the MAX roll up in any circumstance would be in the order of £3000 but that figure depends on what stake you begin with . A Pre off BAF is the only realistic shout for this to happen and you also need a few minutes to get on. This is counter to the time you need between races to have your stake logged so the logistics may be difficult as regards getting on. 5 Mins between races is ample for the stake calculation and transfer usually. I have not used Martingale yet with real money but believe with the right bank it can work.
I have to grow a BANK for this.

[Anbell]

There are many greater minds than mine on this Forum and most of them seem to gathered here However heres by halfpennyworth on Martingale in General. I agree that Martingale in its original Form does not work-The coin flip or red-black roulette 50-50 version has no chance as a losing sequence is inevitable.
IMO for any variation to work it has to have the following elements. The underlying BAF has to have
(1) A high incidence of winning to Loss
(2) A relatively high win/loss value-amount Ratio
Also you cannot allow the losses to roll up indefinitely without either a sequential cap or a value cap. I have seen myself with the BAF I tested having a 12 loss sequence on the AUS market.Not even Musks bank would sustain that.
IMO you then have to determine by testing for EVERY BAf used if the capped off losses are greater than your cumulative wins. IMO Its that simple. IMO (2) is the most important factor. We all can back a great number at 1.01 and get the high incidence .
Another vital factor is whether you can get on when the stakes roll up. I would think the MAX roll up in any circumstance would be in the order of £3000 but that figure depends on what stake you begin with . A Pre off BAF is the only realistic shout for this to happen and you also need a few minutes to get on. This is counter to the time you need between races to have your stake logged so the logistics may be difficult as regards getting on. 5 Mins between races is ample for the stake calculation and transfer usually. I have not used Martingale yet with real money but believe with the right bank it can work.
I have to grow a BANK for this.

Satire?

[Anbell]

Dear God Almighty, please tell me this is satire.

[Dr Ginhog]

WTF

[Dr Ginhog]

Whats causing you to have such a reaction Anbel.Pray tell me.

[Trader Pat]

Martingale discussions on the forum be like.....

[Dr Ginhog]

Ok I could not help myself. I laughed

[Anbell]

Ok I could not help myself. I laughed

I've got a plan: send me 90% of your bank directly, today. You'll be 10% better off and I wont have to waste my time extracting money from your purse.

[Dr Ginhog]

My purse ? Never carried a Purse ever? Did you mean Wallet?
Your welcome to it Anbel all 100% of it.
As anybody who has read my post knows I have always advocated for DISCIPLINE for others. Unfortunately I have not been sensible in applyiung it to myself. Hence the empty wallet.