The Open - St Georges

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megarain
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Real Golf starts tomorrow :

Pre start prices top 20

Backed Rahm, De Chambeau, Swatzel (donation), Outhuizen (donation) .. will largely just watch it.

Went to the practice day of one of these about 7 yrs ago - its an amazing layout/day .. well worth the 2 hr drive/hike to the course.
The Open 2021 pre Round 1.jpg
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Trader Pat
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Not a trader of golf but what I love about The Open is the all day coverage, none of this featured groups BS

Shame its not still on the BBC though
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Euler
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1/6 for Bryson to end up in the sea at some point.
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MobiusGrey
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Euler wrote:
Thu Jul 15, 2021 10:33 am
1/6 for Bryson to end up in the sea at some point.
That will be the 1% where he doesn't shout 'fore' then.

Asked why, when he hits a drive that’s headed toward a group of watching spectators, he is sometimes slow to yell the traditional word of warning—“Fore!”—DeChambeau feigned innocence, even in the wake of cinematic evidence to the contrary.

“I do shout ‘Fore,’” he said. “I don't know what you're talking about. There are plenty of people on the tee box that do shout ‘fore.’ You're bringing up a very controversial thing, which is unfortunate. But 99 percent of the time I do [shout], and unfortunately people think I don't. But that's OK, they can say whatever they want.”
Trader Pat
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MobiusGrey wrote:
Thu Jul 15, 2021 12:54 pm
Euler wrote:
Thu Jul 15, 2021 10:33 am
1/6 for Bryson to end up in the sea at some point.
That will be the 1% where he doesn't shout 'fore' then.

Asked why, when he hits a drive that’s headed toward a group of watching spectators, he is sometimes slow to yell the traditional word of warning—“Fore!”—DeChambeau feigned innocence, even in the wake of cinematic evidence to the contrary.

“I do shout ‘Fore,’” he said. “I don't know what you're talking about. There are plenty of people on the tee box that do shout ‘fore.’ You're bringing up a very controversial thing, which is unfortunate. But 99 percent of the time I do [shout], and unfortunately people think I don't. But that's OK, they can say whatever they want.”
I think DeChambeau is right on this. Spieth just drove one into the gallery and didn't shout fore, his caddie did. I don't watch a massive amount of golf but when I do it seems 50/50 on whether or not a player shouts fore.
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Euler
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Zalatoris has plenty of potential within a few seasons to get a major. Real breakthrough player.
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Euler
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Can't see Bryson making anyting out of this course. His style shouldn't work here.
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Euler
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This tweeter has put out some interesting analysis: -

https://twitter.com/PGASplits101
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MobiusGrey
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Euler wrote:
Thu Jul 15, 2021 1:28 pm
Can't see Bryson making anyting out of this course. His style shouldn't work here.
I'm not so sure, using the course fit tool....

Image
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MobiusGrey
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Although the live predictive model is saying something different

Image

At this rate he'll finish T37
wabash
Posts: 53
Joined: Sun Jun 02, 2019 1:45 pm

it is a serious maket, your money will be matched quickly.

i am holding back a bit, i want to take advantage of th over round.

i will slow my activity 4 hours before the cut, the push hard the third day, i do not plan to trade the last two hours , i might takea view in the last two hours.

i do nt want to give away my strategy, but i am expecting bumper profits, this might be a 10 millions matched markets i stated trading at 1 million pounds.

the only shame is this sort of markets are not every week. only the uspga and ryder cup will be this strong.
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Derek27
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wabash wrote:
Thu Jul 15, 2021 8:51 pm
it is a serious maket, your money will be matched quickly.

i am holding back a bit, i want to take advantage of th over round.

i will slow my activity 4 hours before the cut, the push hard the third day, i do not plan to trade the last two hours , i might takea view in the last two hours.

i do nt want to give away my strategy, but i am expecting bumper profits, this might be a 10 millions matched markets i stated trading at 1 million pounds.

the only shame is this sort of markets are not every week. only the uspga and ryder cup will be this strong.
Usually when you make bumper profits Betfair rob you of all the money. ;)
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Euler
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Main positive movers from the open to end of day one, returns to £10 stakes: -

Jordan Spieth - 21 to 6.2 : £23.87
Dustin Johnson - 26 to 21 : £2.38
Louis Oosthuizen - 36 to 6.6 : £44.55
Viktor Hovland - 38 to 30 : £2.67
Collin Morikawa - 40 to 18.5 : £11.62
Paul Casey - 50 to 44 : £1.36
Tommy Fleetwood - 55 to 22 : £15.00
Scottie Scheffler - 60 to 32 : £8.75
Sergio Garcia - 90 to 75 : £2.00
Webb Simpson - 95 to 24 : £29.58
Justin Rose - 100 to 38 : £16.32
Christiaan Bezuidenhout - 130 to 95 : £3.68
Stewart Cink - 130 to 38 : £24.21
Corey Conners - 180 to 110 : £6.36
Brian Harman - 190 to 30 : £53.33
Francesco Molinari - 250 to 120 : £10.83
Ryan Fox - 360 to 230 : £5.65
Danny Willett - 370 to 90 : £31.11
Andy Sullivan - 410 to 110 : £27.27
Chris Kirk - 600 to 320 : £8.75
Mackenzie Hughes - 620 to 90 : £58.89
Brandt Snedeker - 700 to 280 : £15.00
Justin Harding - 750 to 200 : £27.50
Marcus Armitage - 780 to 720 : £0.83
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Euler
Posts: 24701
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And the negatives: -

Jon Rahm - 10 to 48 : -£7.92
Brooks Koepka - 18 to 24 : -£2.50
Xander Schauffele - 22 to 34 : -£3.53
Justin Thomas - 25 to 150 : -£8.33
Rory McIlroy - 26 to 40 : -£3.50
Tyrrell Hatton - 36 to 270 : -£8.67
Patrick Cantlay - 38 to 1000 : -£9.62
Bryson DeChambeau - 40 to 160 : -£7.50
Patrick Reed - 42 to 280 : -£8.50
Matthew Fitzpatrick - 42 to 150 : -£7.20
Shane Lowry - 50 to 170 : -£7.06
Branden Grace - 65 to 420 : -£8.45
Daniel Berger - 70 to 250 : -£7.20
Ian Poulter - 70 to 650 : -£8.92
Tony Finau - 75 to 160 : -£5.31
Harris English - 75 to 1000 : -£9.25
Lee Westwood - 75 to 300 : -£7.50
Marc Leishman - 80 to 1000 : -£9.20
Abraham Ancer - 90 to 130 : -£3.08
Rickie Fowler - 90 to 95 : -£0.53
Joaquin Niemann - 100 to 170 : -£4.12
Adam Scott - 120 to 1000 : -£8.80
Jason Day - 120 to 1000 : -£8.80
Robert MacIntyre - 120 to 620 : -£8.06
Phil Mickelson - 130 to 1000 : -£8.70
Lucas Herbert - 130 to 310 : -£5.81
Alex Noren - 140 to 1000 : -£8.60
Will Zalatoris - 160 to 170 : -£0.59
Min Woo Lee - 170 to 1000 : -£8.30
Garrick Higgo - 170 to 1000 : -£8.30
Jason Kokrak - 200 to 520 : -£6.15
Sam Burns - 190 to 900 : -£7.89
Kevin Kisner - 210 to 340 : -£3.82
Matt Wallace - 220 to 510 : -£5.69
Charley Hoffman - 230 to 1000 : -£7.70
Guido Migliozzi - 230 to 250 : -£0.80
Bernd Wiesberger - 230 to 700 : -£6.71
Keegan Bradley - 240 to 920 : -£7.39
Ryan Palmer - 240 to 1000 : -£7.60
Russell Henley - 240 to 430 : -£4.42
Padraig Harrington - 250 to 800 : -£6.88
Richard Bland - 260 to 770 : -£6.62
Thomas Detry - 260 to 1000 : -£7.40
Gary Woodland - 280 to 1000 : -£7.20
Martin Kaymer - 300 to 1000 : -£7.00
Lucas Glover - 330 to 1000 : -£6.70
Henrik Stenson - 370 to 630 : -£4.13
Victor Perez - 390 to 690 : -£4.35
Billy Horschel - 400 to 780 : -£4.87
Matt Jones - 400 to 1000 : -£6.00
Kevin Streelman - 400 to 1000 : -£6.00
Matt Kuchar - 460 to 1000 : -£5.40
Max Homa - 470 to 690 : -£3.19
Cameron Tringale - 490 to 710 : -£3.10
Emiliano Grillo - 520 to 1000 : -£4.80
Sam Horsfield - 530 to 1000 : -£4.70
Johannes Veerman - 530 to 1000 : -£4.70
Brendon Todd - 550 to 1000 : -£4.50
Rafael Cabrera Bello - 560 to 790 : -£2.91
Carlos Ortiz - 600 to 1000 : -£4.00
Aaron Rai - 660 to 1000 : -£3.40
Sebastian Munoz - 670 to 1000 : -£3.30
Antoine Rozner - 670 to 1000 : -£3.30
Talor Gooch - 720 to 830 : -£1.33
Dean Burmester - 720 to 1000 : -£2.80
John Catlin - 760 to 1000 : -£2.40
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Euler
Posts: 24701
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
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wabash wrote:
Thu Jul 15, 2021 8:51 pm
the only shame is this sort of markets are not every week. only the uspga and ryder cup will be this strong.
The Masters is the biggest Golf market in the year.
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