Cassini wrote:If you backed Liverpool in their last 30 league games when odds on > your loss on your investment to a fixed stake of 1 unit would be 13%
Today's Football
Dagenham 1-1 HT
5/4 7/4 3/1
over 3.5 is offered at 10/11
Posted on: September 4th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark
In the table below I have added the last 50 games in the National League where the away teams opened the scoring 0-20 and 1-1 half time , 88% ended over 2.5 goals and 54% ended over 3.5 goals
GAME PATHWAY
6/50 FT 1-1
20/50 > 2-1 19-1-0 <> home teams won 95%
24/50 > 1-2 2-5-17 <> away teams won 71%
in the QPR game the market algorithm does not understand that the game is 1-1 HT added to the early goal metric > all it can see is 1-1 HT which is a major flaw
over 3.5 should be around 4/5 with the least likely outcome being the draw > but the market has the draw as the most likely outcome >
13/8 13/10 3/1
5/4 7/4 3/1
over 3.5 is offered at 10/11
Posted on: September 4th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark
In the table below I have added the last 50 games in the National League where the away teams opened the scoring 0-20 and 1-1 half time , 88% ended over 2.5 goals and 54% ended over 3.5 goals
GAME PATHWAY
6/50 FT 1-1
20/50 > 2-1 19-1-0 <> home teams won 95%
24/50 > 1-2 2-5-17 <> away teams won 71%
in the QPR game the market algorithm does not understand that the game is 1-1 HT added to the early goal metric > all it can see is 1-1 HT which is a major flaw
over 3.5 should be around 4/5 with the least likely outcome being the draw > but the market has the draw as the most likely outcome >
13/8 13/10 3/1
- ruthlessimon
- Posts: 2094
- Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm
i hope leicester get relegated for that. pardew 2nd fav.... mad!!!
- ruthlessimon
- Posts: 2094
- Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm
- ruthlessimon
- Posts: 2094
- Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm
i hope you're vlogging the final tmro peter! COYR (saints)