Over/Under 0.5 - Advice needed

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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skandy85
Posts: 12
Joined: Tue Feb 28, 2017 8:02 am

So I am tinkering with a little strategy with the O/U 0.5 market - this is in conjunction with another market that will bring in very small, but consistent profit....hopefully! :-p Just doing some test runs.

However, I am wondering what you guys think...

At the moment I am setting my trade to take the in- play price at 1.20 (Over 0.5 Goals) as opposed to taking the pre-kickoff price which is normally around 1.10.

Do you think I should take the 1.10 and accept a smaller profit but a LOT more winning trades but also more losses? Or, do I stick with the 1.20?


Just thought I would ask what you guys think?
cheets
Posts: 7
Joined: Mon Feb 27, 2017 12:29 pm

Do you have any information on how long it takes for the odds to hit 1.2? And in the time in takes to hit 1.2 in how many games is there a goal scored?
The difference in the odds (10%) must be higher than the % of games where a goal is scored before the odds hit 1.2 for it to be profitable.

Please correct me if this maths is wrong, and let me know how it goes!!

Cheets
skandy85
Posts: 12
Joined: Tue Feb 28, 2017 8:02 am

This is part of what I am trying to find out. Only done a few hundred trades so far but hitting 100%.

Will keep you informed of results
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