US Open 2017

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deggsy10
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Joined: Sun May 21, 2017 8:53 am

Been watching some of Peters videos and decided to have a little nibble at the US Open. Confidence/form players appear to be a big factor and indicator of which players will do well. Based on this and having looked at who the form players are in terms of their recent finishes in tournaments on the PGA tour, I have backed Adam Scott, Kevin Kisner, Billy Horschel, Sean O'Hair and Stewart Cink with varying stakes. I've also done a bit of research on the course and the hardest holes i.e the ones were drop shots are most likely would appear to be holes 4, 7, 9, 14 and 18 so it may be a good tactic to lay players about to embark on holes 4-9. Looking at the weather forecast it looks to be nice weather on the first day so no real advantage to anybody in terms of the weather.
deggsy10
Posts: 81
Joined: Sun May 21, 2017 8:53 am

I have placed 5 back bets on 5 different players on the US Open. The odds on 4 of them are all still exactly the same and the other one the odds have come in slightly. However my CashOut figure is currently -£37. I could understand this if the odds had drifted. Can somebody explain?
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Dallas
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deggsy10 wrote:
Thu Jun 15, 2017 1:14 pm
I have placed 5 back bets on 5 different players on the US Open. The odds on 4 of them are all still exactly the same and the other one the odds have come in slightly. However my CashOut figure is currently -£37. I could understand this if the odds had drifted. Can somebody explain?
Big price gaps in the market will cause this - look at the lay prices available for one or more, there will be much higher than you backed at
Bluesky
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Dallas wrote:
Thu Jun 15, 2017 1:45 pm
Big price gaps in the market will cause this - look at the lay prices available for one or more, there will be much higher than you backed at
For the US Masters this year I managed to find some really good each way arbs, especially between Skybet and the 8 to place market on BF. The US Open however has been hopeless for arbs. At one time the golf markets were ATMs for arbers, not the case anymore unfortunately.
deggsy10
Posts: 81
Joined: Sun May 21, 2017 8:53 am

Dont understand why there is so little liquidity in the market. One of the players I backed pre off is +4 already. I want to cash out but there is not enough liability to cash out. The other thing is, I have backed 4 other players but only seem to have 1 cash out option. How do I cash out on just one of my players?
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Dallas
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deggsy10 wrote:
Thu Jun 15, 2017 3:26 pm
Dont understand why there is so little liquidity in the market. One of the players I backed pre off is +4 already. I want to cash out but there is not enough liability to cash out. The other thing is, I have backed 4 other players but only seem to have 1 cash out option. How do I cash out on just one of my players?
Use the ladded screen and just click the trade profit figure (left column of each ladder) on the selection you want to green up/cash out. See bottom of this thread
http://www.betangel.com/forum/viewtopic ... 47&t=11572

On the one click screen you need to create a short cut key then just hoover your mouse over that selection and click it
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Dallas
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deggsy10 wrote:
Thu Jun 15, 2017 3:26 pm
Dont understand why there is so little liquidity in the market. One of the players I backed pre off is +4 already. I want to cash out but there is not enough liability to cash out. The other thing is, I have backed 4 other players but only seem to have 1 cash out option. How do I cash out on just one of my players?
Which market are you trading? Their is plenty of liquidity available in the winners market
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Euler
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You don't have to take the price, offer one to make sure you don't lose too much on the spread.
deggsy10
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I'm trading the winners market but I don't have the software. I'm just using the betfair site.
deggsy10
Posts: 81
Joined: Sun May 21, 2017 8:53 am

Horshel is bottom of the leader board at +6! He is supposed to be in form. So much for confidence!
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Euler
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Breaking - Blimp covering the US Open has caught fired and come down.
deggsy10
Posts: 81
Joined: Sun May 21, 2017 8:53 am

Absolute nightmare day for me. I carefully selected 5 in form players to back and every one of them are well over par. Looking at a £150 loss. Think I should stick to tennis!
max_usted
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deggsy10 wrote:
Thu Jun 15, 2017 9:09 pm
Absolute nightmare day for me. I carefully selected 5 in form players to back and every one of them are well over par. Looking at a £150 loss. Think I should stick to tennis!
Sounds like you should follow the same process but then lay your selections - you're on to a winner:)
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Euler
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deggsy10 wrote:
Thu Jun 15, 2017 9:09 pm
Absolute nightmare day for me. I carefully selected 5 in form players to back and every one of them are well over par. Looking at a £150 loss. Think I should stick to tennis!
Players at the front of the field tend to play for the weekend and often screw up. It's players at the middle or back that tend to spring unexpected surprises.
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Euler
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All the positive movers from yesterday: -

Rickie Fowler - 24 to 4.7 : £41.06
Sergio Garcia - 29 to 19 : £5.26
Paul Casey - 55 to 8.8 : £52.50
Brooks Koepka - 55 to 13.5 : £30.74
Charl Schwartzel - 70 to 60 : £1.67
Shane Lowry - 75 to 55 : £3.64
Marc Leishman - 110 to 22 : £40.00
Matthew Fitzpatrick - 120 to 70 : £7.14
Patrick Reed - 140 to 29 : £38.28
Brandt Snedeker - 140 to 70 : £10.00
Lee Westwood - 140 to 48 : £19.17
Byeong Hun An - 160 to 120 : £3.33
Bernd Wiesberger - 170 to 50 : £24.00
J B Holmes - 190 to 70 : £17.14
Russell Henley - 200 to 160 : £2.50
Si Woo Kim - 270 to 60 : £35.00
Charley Hoffman - 220 to 100 : £12.00
Zach Johnson - 260 to 240 : £0.83
Adam Hadwin - 240 to 46 : £42.17
Jamie Lovemark - 300 to 85 : £25.29
Tommy Fleetwood - 270 to 32 : £74.38
Brian Harman - 320 to 38 : £74.21
William McGirt - 380 to 170 : £12.35
Harris English - 480 to 330 : £4.55
Jim Furyk - 450 to 180 : £15.00
Kevin Na - 540 to 70 : £67.14
Andrew Johnston - 690 to 130 : £43.08
Stephan Jaeger - 990 to 710 : £3.94
Brandon Stone - 1000 to 320 : £21.25
Ernie Els - 1000 to 670 : £4.93
Angel Cabrera - 1000 to 520 : £9.23
Thomas Aiken - 1000 to 960 : £0.42
Trey Mullinax - 1000 to 810 : £2.35
Xander Schauffele - 1000 to 75 : £123.33
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