I mean the prices of the horses you traded. Unless you're varying your stake, you might just find that, possibly for no special reason, you're having a spell of losers at high odds (big effect) and winners on the short ones (small effect). It can make your results seem bad when in fact, if they'd all been the same amount per tick you're actually doing ok, or not so bad anyway. Do you stake Fixed amount or % Liability ?deggsy10 wrote: ↑Fri Jun 30, 2017 8:20 pmI dont know what you mean by odds on trades better than 6+ trades. What stats should I be collecting and how would I use them to predict future races?ShaunWhite wrote: ↑Fri Jun 30, 2017 7:18 pmIf things, any things, 'p1ss you off', stop now, give up. It's the worst thing you can do. Even a genius market reader who gets p1ssed off will lose.
You had a load of great advice before, enough things to keep you busy for months, but you're back in a couple of days! I think you just have an over inflated sense of your own abilities and expect to do this without putting in the 100s or 1000s of hours. Not just 100s of hours playing at it and clicking all over the place, I mean 100s of hours really focussed study, noting and understanding.
What about your stats? Do you know which race types, price ranges, market profiles are working best/worse ? Are your odds-on trades better than your 6+ trades? I'm guessing you don't keep detailed stats, in fact I'd put money on it.
As for other stats, start by just bringing the BF P&L into Excel.
That will let you see things like if you're doing better on handicaps than non-handicaps, or if certain times of the day or days of the week suit you better than others. When I first did that I saw that my first half hour, and between 5 and 6 were killing me, and mid-afternoon was best. So I reduced my stakes early on and stopped to eat at 5. You can add a column to that sheet for the inital price of the horse and a brief note/code for the market shape, and really start to see where you're good and what's spoiling it.
A race with a)one horse at evens and the rest at big prices, trades very differently to b)one with joint faves & rags, or c)a 20 runner handicap with 6 of them at 8/1. For me, in order of returns, it goes a) then b) then c) for you it might be different, see how it looks over a month. Try and avoid what's hurting you most or at least reduce your stakes on those until it gets better.
I'd start by not using that 'Keep bets' button because it will end in tears
If anything, set your unmatched bets to 'Take SP' and always have enough unmatched bets somewhere in the market to get you close to balanced. It's a good idea anyway cos you could get a freak fill from a spike, and it saves a heart attack if your pc goes down 5secs before the off. I have a bot that sets my unmatched bets to 'Take SP' so I don't have to change the status of them all, it also Greens at IP+1s and keeps doing it every 10secs through the race to stop me doing anything stupid like being tempted to trade in-play or having a bet. It's not something I even think about doing now (I used to be terrible at having stupid £2/£5 bets 'for a bit of fun' if I'd f*cked up my trade) but no harm in leaving the safety net there in case of a mis-click or a brainstorm. The incentive not to stray from straight trading is there now because it makes your stats meaningless and you've no real idea of how you're doing.
I didn't mean to sound harsh about the time you have/haven't put in, but the answers to your questions are very different if you've been grinding away for a year or just a few months and a few hundered markets . How many markets have you traded?