Today's Horse Racing

[Derek27]

Really frustrating going to bed when the sun's shining.

[stueytrader]

I know it's going back a little, but can anyone explain that ridiculous drift from 5.0 to 40.0 on Vikivaka, and it nearly won the race!

[Dallas]

I know it's going back a little, but can anyone explain that ridiculous drift from 5.0 to 40.0 on Vikivaka, and it nearly won the race!

A very short price fav was hammered in and it was the victim

There was another shortly after
viewtopic.php?f=5&t=6690&start=1858

[stueytrader]

I know it's going back a little, but can anyone explain that ridiculous drift from 5.0 to 40.0 on Vikivaka, and it nearly won the race!

A very short price fav was hammered in and it was the victim

There was another shortly after
viewtopic.php?f=5&t=6690&start=1858

Fair point, but then why didn't the other two drift the same way?

[Dallas]

I know it's going back a little, but can anyone explain that ridiculous drift from 5.0 to 40.0 on Vikivaka, and it nearly won the race!

A very short price fav was hammered in and it was the victim

There was another shortly after
viewtopic.php?f=5&t=6690&start=1858

Fair point, but then why didn't the other two drift the same way?

Which other two?

[stueytrader]

I meant the other two in Vikivaki's race - neither drifted anywhere near as much.

[weemac]

Because Viki was the weakest link of the 3 non-favs; the horse fewest punters (or the least money) wanted to back. The next question would be "Why?"

[stueytrader]

Because Viki was the weakest link of the 3 non-favs; the horse fewest punters (or the least money) wanted to back. The next question would be "Why?"

It was the shortest of the other 3 before the drift, so can't see any reason it was percieved as the 'weakest link' myself, and neither did the market think that before the drift. Just seems very odd to go to 40.0 for a horse that managed to get within a nose of winning this too.

[weemac]

I wasn't talking about pre-drift perceptions - I was talking about the the post-drift fact that it proved, with hindsight, to be the weakest link. It seems no-one in the world particularly perceived it as a weak link before the drift. But presumably something changed dramatically.

[stueytrader]

I'm just wondering if anyone can even postulate a reason why it became perceived that way? I can't really think of one other than possibly many traders were backing it heavy and caused a snowball effect to make it drift back again so hard....? Even then, a big drift is usually around 5.0 - 12.0 sort of range, not 40.0!

I'm kind of glad it wasn't a 'tailed off' sort of runner - the police would surely have been involved due to the 'explanation' in that case!

[Korattt]

some nice convergence in the 14:20

[Trading96]

Fanshawe newcomers don't tend to win but don't tend to get backed either.

[ShaunWhite]

I'm just wondering if anyone can even postulate a reason why it became perceived that way? I can't really think of one other than possibly many traders were backing it heavy and caused a snowball effect to make it drift back again so

Might have acted like a fool in the ring and overheated, or had a small knock in the box, or looked out of condition? Plenty of reasons horse seems like 20% on paper or in the van, but looks more like 5% in the flesh. I know it was evenually 2.5% but once they're below 10% the rest is down to who likes it enough to put their hard-earned cash on it, and not many did.

[Trading96]

Sha La La La Lee might be backed given trainers comments.

[dmbusa]

May have to call it a day, got caught by a long delay in the "live" pictures on the 14:40 race went in play when there where still 3 horses to load into the stalls