yes I appreciate (and do) that but we are introducing a degree of selectivity into it … overall "long-shots" lose money. The worst is the BSP 1000.00 because if a runner has a 10,000/1 chance it is still valued in BSP terms at only 1000 so, forgetting them, a quick extract from my stats shows me …
Odds>=20and<50: -5798 required Edge +2% (1 tick)
Odds>=50and<100: -11015 required Edge +12% (2 ticks)
Odds>=100and<1000: -21207 required Edge +18% (2 - 18 ticks)
(based on BSP, UK and IRE races and ignores dead-heats)
So at the lower end (Odds 20 - 100) the required Edge summarises down to about 2 ticks. The trick of course is finding those ticks (and more
