Today's Horse Racing

The sport of kings.
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Euler
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Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

I usually have RacingTv and Attheraces / Sky racing on my feed to check.
jamesg46
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Feels a little choppy so far today, keep finding myself in vulnerable positions... took a loss way out of proportion on my first trade too. I'm changing tactic to hands under bum for a while.
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Euler
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I turned up late for the sessions as I'm not expecting much.
jamesg46
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Euler wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 3:11 pm
I turned up late for the sessions as I'm not expecting much.
I noticed your post but somebody had already answered you, hopefully we get a few good markets & not around tea time as per.
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ruthlessimon
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ShaunWhite wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 1:50 am
BeastofBrine wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 12:00 am
ruthlessimon wrote:
Mon Oct 07, 2019 6:43 pm


Out of interest, can you remember the result of the move? Was it a slight drift (late-on)?
It drifted from below 2, then traded in a range above that, where the large stakes seemed to push it around. I'm not sure of the action in the final seconds before the market went in-play, as I had a phone call.

Edit: At least I thought came from below 2 - looking at the trades I made, I may be misremembering. It's incredible how the memory of an event bleeds away in such a short space of time. I really need to get into the habit of recording my trading...
It bounced off evens. (actually bounced off 2.04 but 49% is near enough to call it evens)
-5min to Scheduled start.
Screenshot_7.png
To me, the 15:35 just gone was the exact same type of pattern. It looked like a very very strong fav, but in a flash dries up & drifts (a fair ol' reversal that, eventually). But I don't think that pattern existed a yr ago - defo not a drift to that extent
BeastofBrine
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ruthlessimon wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 3:48 pm
ShaunWhite wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 1:50 am
BeastofBrine wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 12:00 am
It drifted from below 2, then traded in a range above that, where the large stakes seemed to push it around. I'm not sure of the action in the final seconds before the market went in-play, as I had a phone call.

Edit: At least I thought came from below 2 - looking at the trades I made, I may be misremembering. It's incredible how the memory of an event bleeds away in such a short space of time. I really need to get into the habit of recording my trading...
It bounced off evens. (actually bounced off 2.04 but 49% is near enough to call it evens)
-5min to Scheduled start.
Screenshot_7.png
To me, the 15:35 just gone was the exact same type of pattern. It looked like a very very strong fav, but in a flash dries up & drifts (a fair ol' reversal that, eventually). But I don't think that pattern existed a yr ago - defo not a drift to that extent
I'm sorry I had to miss it - I'd have liked to study it. I had a look at my notes, and the 17.10 at Tipperary on Sunday looks to have been similar too.
BeastofBrine
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I'm interested to see if the 17:20 at Galway ends up being the same.
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ruthlessimon
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BeastofBrine wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 4:53 pm
I'm interested to see if the 17:20 at Galway ends up being the same.
Got absolutely hammered in, but it brings up 2 interesting points

1. Recency bias. Personally I don't think that move was "normal" - I wish it was though, cos trading would be super easy :mrgreen:

2. IE vs UK. Now I've got a real quandary about whether biases can be "completely" transferred between regions. I do kinda agree with: "if the Uk strategy is correct, then there's no reason it shouldn't work on IE". But I can think of a couple of examples where this isn't true, & slight modifications have to be made (to make it "worth while"). But does modifying imply a "weak strategy", possibly - albeit IE has a lower sample of markets
Jukebox
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I wonder if the result of the 18:10 has been agreed yet
BeastofBrine
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ruthlessimon wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 5:50 pm
BeastofBrine wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 4:53 pm
I'm interested to see if the 17:20 at Galway ends up being the same.
Got absolutely hammered in, but it brings up 2 interesting points

1. Recency bias. Personally I don't think that move was "normal" - I wish it was though, cos trading would be super easy :mrgreen:

2. IE vs UK. Now I've got a real quandary about whether biases can be "completely" transferred between regions. I do kinda agree with: "if the Uk strategy is correct, then there's no reason it shouldn't work on IE". But I can think of a couple of examples where this isn't true, & slight modifications have to be made (to make it "worth while"). But does modifying imply a "weak strategy", possibly - albeit IE has a lower sample of markets
Yes, it was a nice market. The 17:40 at Chelmsford was more in line with what we've been talking about - ranging about above 2.

I suspect that recency bias is playing its part in making these markets seem a little strange to me (after all the huge doses of money that were hitting the markets until not too long ago, with the attendant moves), but I'll admit it’s the potential that I’m trading whilst high on confirmation bias and Dunning-Kruger that has me concerned.
dt888
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Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2011 9:25 pm

I think they just put Navan in play at the same time as Notts went in play :?
dt888
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Maybe one for the fat finger thread
Korattt
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Joined: Mon Dec 21, 2015 6:46 pm

Oleg well over done back there
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Dallas
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I've not really gotten into today's markets
jamesg46
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Dallas wrote:
Wed Oct 09, 2019 4:55 pm
I've not really gotten into today's markets
Because of better opportunities?
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