US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
Post Reply
User avatar
Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Arizona getting tighter, I have no idea which counties have votes outstanding though.

20% of votes left to count there
User avatar
Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Wisconsin going to be very close, 94% counted and Trump leads by 2.7% (108,000), polls indicated that would be the easiest of the 3 key Midwest states for Biden to pick up
User avatar
Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Apparently Clark County (Las Vegas) are waiting on the next numbers to drop in an hour, Biden leads by 23k currently in Nevada
User avatar
Euler
Posts: 26365
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

This is fun!
User avatar
wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3559
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

Naffman wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:05 am
Apparently Clark County (Las Vegas) are waiting on the next numbers to drop in an hour, Biden leads by 23k currently in Nevada
Naffman wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 8:35 am
Wisconsin going to be very close, 94% counted and Trump leads by 2.7% (108,000), polls indicated that would be the easiest of the 3 key Midwest states for Biden to pick up

Ok...

Here's my tuppence worth.

As it stands, 7 undecided.

USElection.jpg


Final Map Prediction

USPrediction.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
LeTiss
Posts: 5480
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

Whatever your political views, can we all just rejoice as traders in this absolutey EPIC market
User avatar
wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3559
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

Latest, momentum for Trump...

momentum.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
NickH
Posts: 174
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 7:54 am

Nice to see how Hawai can shift Biden from 1.41 to 1.5 :D
User avatar
Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

NickH wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:37 am
Nice to see how Hawai can shift Biden from 1.41 to 1.5 :D
Was Wisconsin
User avatar
Dallas
Posts: 23532
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

We do at least know that yet again the polls were totally wrong!

Despite the being re-modelled, re-jigged, re-calibrated, re-configured, they still made a complete hash of it

In four years time I can't see how anyone can put any faith whatsoever in them, Betfair should perhaps even have a market on how far out they will end up being
User avatar
wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3559
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

Dallas wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am
We do at least know that yet again the polls were totally wrong!

Despite the being re-modelled, re-jigged, re-calibrated, re-configured, they still made a complete hash of it

In four years time I can't see how anyone can put any faith whatsoever in them, Betfair should perhaps even have a market on how far out they will end up being
What if? It's a draw... (asking for a friend)
User avatar
LeTiss
Posts: 5480
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

Dallas wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am
We do at least know that yet again the polls were totally wrong!

Despite the being re-modelled, re-jigged, re-calibrated, re-configured, they still made a complete hash of it

In four years time I can't see how anyone can put any faith whatsoever in them, Betfair should perhaps even have a market on how far out they will end up being
You have to question the political leanings of the pollster. That's something I've learned

Also, I think many Trump supporters were keeping quiet and waiting for election day. They have even given false information when asked by pollsters
auto-matt
Posts: 136
Joined: Sun Jul 07, 2019 4:58 pm

What’s caused this sudden swing? Or am I missing some news
Zenyatta
Posts: 1143
Joined: Thu Mar 11, 2010 4:17 pm

Dallas wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 am
We do at least know that yet again the polls were totally wrong!

Despite the being re-modelled, re-jigged, re-calibrated, re-configured, they still made a complete hash of it

In four years time I can't see how anyone can put any faith whatsoever in them, Betfair should perhaps even have a market on how far out they will end up being
Yup, stick to Betfair to tell you how it really is, from now on, we know to ignore all clueless pundits and pollsters
sionascaig
Posts: 1623
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

wisconsin I thk
Post Reply

Return to “Political betting & arguing”