Australian racing
Not too shabby my guy. There's a ton of value around in these markets so you should be pressing on from there over time ideally.
Are those results from botting Mon-Sun ?
Hopefully a better effort from me in tomorrow's session. Got the necessary adjustments ready just a case of executing.
Also noticed a correlation with how much sleep I get pre-session with poor results so gonna tire myself out as much as poss. tomorrow & see if I can get 3h/4.5h rather than the 30mins of late
Make It Rainjimibt wrote: ↑Thu Nov 26, 2020 8:50 pmweirdly, i have a different take on AUS. CAVEAT, the graph below is a 20 week snapshot of a strategy that I've developed for AUS IP that literally just should not work. Also, this is data from simulation, not Live. However, the bets placed are contextually put on as if live (and match what the market will bear), so should stand up in court.eightbo wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 5:49 amughhh... im out early again not going well for me stakes too big for the market giving away too many ticks exit, not patient enough for better levels too in the higher quality stuff
Last week
◘.png
this week
◘◘.png
now my Sat. AUS HR sucks and my other days are great my weekly results have done a flipflop.
the only reason this isn't live yet is because i'm very pedantic and have a real need to ensure that backtesting and live (/sim) equate... i think it's time
whao-aus.PNG
there have been 15 losing days total in the above, of which only 3 were consecutive.
Good luck with that, jimibt!jimibt wrote: ↑Thu Nov 26, 2020 8:50 pmweirdly, i have a different take on AUS. CAVEAT, the graph below is a 20 week snapshot of a strategy that I've developed for AUS IP that literally just should not work. Also, this is data from simulation, not Live. However, the bets placed are contextually put on as if live (and match what the market will bear), so should stand up in court.eightbo wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 5:49 amughhh... im out early again not going well for me stakes too big for the market giving away too many ticks exit, not patient enough for better levels too in the higher quality stuff
Last week
◘.png
this week
◘◘.png
now my Sat. AUS HR sucks and my other days are great my weekly results have done a flipflop.
the only reason this isn't live yet is because i'm very pedantic and have a real need to ensure that backtesting and live (/sim) equate... i think it's time
whao-aus.PNG
there have been 15 losing days total in the above, of which only 3 were consecutive.
BTW - I understand the pedantic thing, and how you wanna get it *just right* - but why not run live, in parallel, for small$$ after week 1 or 5 or 10?jimibt wrote: ↑Thu Nov 26, 2020 8:50 pmweirdly, i have a different take on AUS. CAVEAT, the graph below is a 20 week snapshot of a strategy that I've developed for AUS IP that literally just should not work. Also, this is data from simulation, not Live. However, the bets placed are contextually put on as if live (and match what the market will bear), so should stand up in court.eightbo wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 5:49 amughhh... im out early again not going well for me stakes too big for the market giving away too many ticks exit, not patient enough for better levels too in the higher quality stuff
Last week
◘.png
this week
◘◘.png
now my Sat. AUS HR sucks and my other days are great my weekly results have done a flipflop.
the only reason this isn't live yet is because i'm very pedantic and have a real need to ensure that backtesting and live (/sim) equate... i think it's time
whao-aus.PNG
there have been 15 losing days total in the above, of which only 3 were consecutive.
you know what, that's prolly not too bad an idea!! as i said, it's one of those *this shouldn't be able to happen* type scenarios, so i guess some real money will put paid to the concern -one way or t'other!Anbell wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 7:35 amBTW - I understand the pedantic thing, and how you wanna get it *just right* - but why not run live, in parallel, for small$$ after week 1 or 5 or 10?jimibt wrote: ↑Thu Nov 26, 2020 8:50 pmweirdly, i have a different take on AUS. CAVEAT, the graph below is a 20 week snapshot of a strategy that I've developed for AUS IP that literally just should not work. Also, this is data from simulation, not Live. However, the bets placed are contextually put on as if live (and match what the market will bear), so should stand up in court.eightbo wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 5:49 amughhh... im out early again not going well for me stakes too big for the market giving away too many ticks exit, not patient enough for better levels too in the higher quality stuff
Last week
◘.png
this week
◘◘.png
now my Sat. AUS HR sucks and my other days are great my weekly results have done a flipflop.
the only reason this isn't live yet is because i'm very pedantic and have a real need to ensure that backtesting and live (/sim) equate... i think it's time
whao-aus.PNG
there have been 15 losing days total in the above, of which only 3 were consecutive.
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- Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am
Yes, its over every day of the week... Bot only picks up a few markets a day on average though (none so far today)... Agree, there is defo value to be had... I run exactly the same bot on UK & IR markets and its returned a profit but been on a downwards trend over last couple of months. Both are SP based so not sure what (if anything) return of crowds will do but suspect more exposed on the AUS side for that..eightbo wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 12:34 amNot too shabby my guy. There's a ton of value around in these markets so you should be pressing on from there over time ideally.
Are those results from botting Mon-Sun ?
Hopefully a better effort from me in tomorrow's session. Got the necessary adjustments ready just a case of executing.
Also noticed a correlation with how much sleep I get pre-session with poor results so gonna tire myself out as much as poss. tomorrow & see if I can get 3h/4.5h rather than the 30mins of late
Not brave enough for the in-play stuff - maybe one day !
Hope today went well for you )
you've made my mind up... possibly subconsciously i put this up so as to receive confirmation on taking action with it (weirdly, in the UK markets i have no issue just taking a leap of faith with new ideas. coming to the AUS market just seemed to create a small doubt in my mind).
anyway, will keep the thread posted on my approach and progress..
You don't need to be brave for in-play just lower your size to reflect the increased volatility and have a go in prac. mode.sionascaig wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 8:05 am
Yes, its over every day of the week... Bot only picks up a few markets a day on average though (none so far today)... Agree, there is defo value to be had... I run exactly the same bot on UK & IR markets and its returned a profit but been on a downwards trend over last couple of months. Both are SP based so not sure what (if anything) return of crowds will do but suspect more exposed on the AUS side for that..
Not brave enough for the in-play stuff - maybe one day !
I'll be making both pre-race & in-play bots for these markets soon. Other stuff has priority atm but remind me to post the results in a few wks if you want.
Will the stakes be the same & how are you defining your risk for 1st going into live — # of mkts/days ; -£x based on prac. results ?
Best of luck with it looking forward to see how you get on, wishing you straightforward profits
Said i'd go for 3hr/4.5hr sleep tonight but here I am about to take another 30min nap.
Gonna plod along safely this session and see if I can't "fix" my profit curve from last 2wks.
edit: better make that 20mins, figure it's worth it to prep a few sandwiches first
Gonna plod along safely this session and see if I can't "fix" my profit curve from last 2wks.
edit: better make that 20mins, figure it's worth it to prep a few sandwiches first