US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Euler
Posts: 26359
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Electoral college vote underway.
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Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

I'd almost forgotten about it! :D

I really should keep better track of my open positions :P
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greenmark
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Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Shamefully, I've assumed that the electors will vote along party lines, so it's done and dusted. But I will raise a glass when Biden's victory is confirmed. Even though it is always the case that the Republican Senate try to block a Democrat President at every possible opportunity. Another bumpy 4 years. Also Trump was new for me. Never thought I could despise a US President more than Bush. Hey-ho.
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Trader Pat
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Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

After today the attention will shift to the Senate races, a Republican majority looked nailed on not so long ago, was trading below 1.05 now available at 1.49 with no majority a 2/1 shot.

No majority would hand control of the House and Senate to the Democrats, the nightmare scenario for Republicans could come true
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Derek27
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Euler wrote: ↑
Mon Dec 14, 2020 4:50 pm
 Electoral college vote underway.
It's a fraud! Dead electors voting, electors voting twice, etc. :)
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Euler
Posts: 26359
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

It's an amazing market.

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Trader Pat
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Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

I can think of cheaper ways to prove you're not insane :D
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jamesg46
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Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Any final volume guesses? I'm going 1.8 billion.
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Euler
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Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

If Betfair don't settle at this stage it will top £2bn I'd imagine.
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jamesg46
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I would say who would Lay Biden after the count but then again I got sent a lovely conspiracy this morning so I know that there is people out there still would.
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megarain
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I wonder if they will close the market and Biden is still available at 1.01 or so.

I haven't checked the State election rules - but Arizona just cast their votes, and u can back at 1.02
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Euler
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Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Still £20m available at 1.02

There is no way he will not win so it all revoles around what Betfair define as a win.
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Euler
Posts: 26359
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Make that £1.5m at 1.03
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jamesg46
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Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Trump got Nevada?
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Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Euler wrote: ↑
Mon Dec 14, 2020 7:48 pm
 Still £20m available at 1.02

There is no way he will not win so it all revoles around what Betfair define as a win.
Commission ;)
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